Market icon
政治·文化

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月28日至3月30日？

Market icon
政治·文化

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月28日至3月30日？

Mar 28

Mar 30

Mar 28

Mar 30

65-89 36%

90-114 27%

40-64 20%

115-139 12%

Polymarket
NEW

$65,700 交易量

65-89 36%

90-114 27%

40-64 20%

115-139 12%

Polymarket
NEW

$65,700 交易量

少於40

$9,724 交易量

2%

40-64

$5,668 交易量

20%

65-89

$4,286 交易量

36%

90-114

$3,928 交易量

27%

115-139

$2,033 交易量

12%

140-164

$3,779 交易量

4%

165-189

$4,232 交易量

1%

190-214

$6,615 交易量

<1%

215-239

$8,988 交易量

<1%

240+

$16,460 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk's tweet count for March 28-30, 2026, at 65-89 posts (35.5% implied probability), narrowly ahead of 90-114 (26.5%), reflecting his recent average of 20-30 daily posts amid steady X engagement on Tesla updates, SpaceX progress, and political discourse. The tight race between these mid-range buckets highlights uncertainty in his baseline activity for that late-March weekend, with lower 40-64 odds (20%) pricing quieter periods and slim higher tails capturing potential surges from viral controversies or announcements. Absent confirmed events, markets hinge on historical patterns—Elon's posting spikes during breaking news—while broader options like under 40 remain marginal due to his prolific social media presence as a pop culture force.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$65,700
結束日期
Mar 30, 2026
市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 12:01 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk's tweet count for March 28-30, 2026, at 65-89 posts (35.5% implied probability), narrowly ahead of 90-114 (26.5%), reflecting his recent average of 20-30 daily posts amid steady X engagement on Tesla updates, SpaceX progress, and political discourse. The tight race between these mid-range buckets highlights uncertainty in his baseline activity for that late-March weekend, with lower 40-64 odds (20%) pricing quieter periods and slim higher tails capturing potential surges from viral controversies or announcements. Absent confirmed events, markets hinge on historical patterns—Elon's posting spikes during breaking news—while broader options like under 40 remain marginal due to his prolific social media presence as a pop culture force.

Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk's tweet count for March 28-30, 2026, at 65-89 posts (35.5% implied probability), narrowly ahead of 90-114 (26.5%), reflecting his recent average of 20-30 daily posts amid steady X engagement on Tesla updates, SpaceX progress, and political discourse. The tight race between these mid-range buckets highlights uncertainty in his baseline activity for that late-March weekend, with lower 40-64 odds (20%) pricing quieter periods and slim higher tails capturing potential surges from viral controversies or announcements. Absent confirmed events, markets hinge on historical patterns—Elon's posting spikes during breaking news—while broader options like under 40 remain marginal due to his prolific social media presence as a pop culture force.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月28日至3月30日？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "65-89" at 36%, followed by "90-114" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月28日至3月30日？" has generated $65.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月28日至3月30日？," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月28日至3月30日？" is "65-89" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "90-114" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月28日至3月30日？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.