Trader consensus on Polymarket centers around 280-339 tweets for Elon Musk during March 24-31, 2026, with 280-299 (12%) edging out 300-319 and 320-339 (both 11.5%), implying a weekly average near 310 based on his recent high-volume posting. This reflects Elon's sustained frenzy on X—averaging 290-340 tweets weekly in late 2024 amid election fervor, Tesla updates, and DOGE initiatives—far above his 2023 norms. Competitive dynamics hinge on daily variance from viral threads or events like Starship tests, with lower probabilities for extremes (<260 or >400) due to historical peaks only during crises. Key differentiators include potential 2026 catalysts such as Mars mission hype or regulatory battles, tempering upside risks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於280-299 12%
300-319 12%
320-339 12%
340-359 11%
$182,859 交易量
$182,859 交易量
少於 20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
1%
160-179
2%
180-199
2%
200-219
3%
220-239
5%
240-259
7%
260-279
8%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320-339
12%
340-359
11%
360-379
11%
380-399
8%
400-419
5%
420-439
3%
440-459
4%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580+
<1%
280-299 12%
300-319 12%
320-339 12%
340-359 11%
$182,859 交易量
$182,859 交易量
少於 20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
1%
160-179
2%
180-199
2%
200-219
3%
220-239
5%
240-259
7%
260-279
8%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320-339
12%
340-359
11%
360-379
11%
380-399
8%
400-419
5%
420-439
3%
440-459
4%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間: Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket centers around 280-339 tweets for Elon Musk during March 24-31, 2026, with 280-299 (12%) edging out 300-319 and 320-339 (both 11.5%), implying a weekly average near 310 based on his recent high-volume posting. This reflects Elon's sustained frenzy on X—averaging 290-340 tweets weekly in late 2024 amid election fervor, Tesla updates, and DOGE initiatives—far above his 2023 norms. Competitive dynamics hinge on daily variance from viral threads or events like Starship tests, with lower probabilities for extremes (<260 or >400) due to historical peaks only during crises. Key differentiators include potential 2026 catalysts such as Mars mission hype or regulatory battles, tempering upside risks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions