Trader consensus on Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account posting volume for March 24-31, 2026, reflects profound uncertainty, with probabilities tightly clustered around 40% across bins from under 20 to over 200 due to the distant timeframe and his historically irregular activity—typically 3-10 posts weekly sharing statements, speeches, or images amid opaque health reports at age 87. No major Iranian holidays or elections align precisely, amplifying unpredictability from potential succession dynamics, geopolitical tensions, or platform policy shifts. Separation could arise from credible health updates, leadership transitions, or pre-week catalysts like Nowruz aftermath, prompting traders to adjust based on evolving Iranian state media patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
20-39 41%
40-59 41%
60-79 41%
80-99 41%
少於20
38%
20-39
41%
40-59
41%
60-79
41%
80-99
41%
100-119
41%
120-139
41%
140-159
41%
160-179
41%
180-199
41%
200+
41%
20-39 41%
40-59 41%
60-79 41%
80-99 41%
少於20
38%
20-39
41%
40-59
41%
60-79
41%
80-99
41%
100-119
41%
120-139
41%
140-159
41%
160-179
41%
180-199
41%
200+
41%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間: Mar 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account posting volume for March 24-31, 2026, reflects profound uncertainty, with probabilities tightly clustered around 40% across bins from under 20 to over 200 due to the distant timeframe and his historically irregular activity—typically 3-10 posts weekly sharing statements, speeches, or images amid opaque health reports at age 87. No major Iranian holidays or elections align precisely, amplifying unpredictability from potential succession dynamics, geopolitical tensions, or platform policy shifts. Separation could arise from credible health updates, leadership transitions, or pre-week catalysts like Nowruz aftermath, prompting traders to adjust based on evolving Iranian state media patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions