Trader consensus on Polymarket centers Elon Musk's March 20-27, 2026, tweet tally at 240-319, with 300-319 edging out at 11.5% implied probability, mirroring his recent 30-40 daily average amid xAI launches and Tesla drama. Recent weeks logged 280-350 posts, fueled by viral culture wars and platform tweaks on X, per verified trackers. Leading ranges (240-299) compete tightly due to volatility: spikes from controversy bait or Grok AI hype could push 320+, while boardroom focus or vacations drag below 260. Historical peaks hit 400+ during 2024 elections, but normalized pop culture dominance sustains mid-300s as the sweet spot for this eight-day window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於300-319 12%
240-259 11%
260-279 11%
280-299 11%
$398,033 交易量
$398,033 交易量
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
3%
200-219
5%
220-239
6%
240-259
11%
260-279
11%
280-299
11%
300-319
12%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
7%
380-399
6%
400-419
5%
420-439
3%
440-459
2%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
300-319 12%
240-259 11%
260-279 11%
280-299 11%
$398,033 交易量
$398,033 交易量
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
3%
200-219
5%
220-239
6%
240-259
11%
260-279
11%
280-299
11%
300-319
12%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
7%
380-399
6%
400-419
5%
420-439
3%
440-459
2%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間: Mar 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket centers Elon Musk's March 20-27, 2026, tweet tally at 240-319, with 300-319 edging out at 11.5% implied probability, mirroring his recent 30-40 daily average amid xAI launches and Tesla drama. Recent weeks logged 280-350 posts, fueled by viral culture wars and platform tweaks on X, per verified trackers. Leading ranges (240-299) compete tightly due to volatility: spikes from controversy bait or Grok AI hype could push 320+, while boardroom focus or vacations drag below 260. Historical peaks hit 400+ during 2024 elections, but normalized pop culture dominance sustains mid-300s as the sweet spot for this eight-day window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions