Polymarket traders assign a 42% implied probability to WTI Crude Oil (CL) topping $80 per barrel anytime during the week of March 16, driven primarily by persistent OPEC+ production cuts offsetting rising US shale output and softer Chinese demand signals. Current front-month CL futures trade near $77.50/bbl, with recent EIA data showing a surprise 1.4 million barrel inventory build that tempered bullish momentum amid Red Sea shipping disruptions. Key catalysts ahead include the March 19 EIA report and FOMC meeting March 18-19, where hints of steady rates could pressure demand forecasts; a close above $79 resistance would signal stronger upside consensus backed by $150 million in open interest.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$672,878 交易量
↑ $140
2%
↑ $120
5%
↑ $110
10%
↑ $105
22%
↑ $100
44%
↓ $90
38%
↓ $85
21%
↓ $80
6%
↓ $75
3%
↓ $70
1%
$672,878 交易量
↑ $140
2%
↑ $120
5%
↑ $110
10%
↑ $105
22%
↑ $100
44%
↓ $90
38%
↓ $85
21%
↓ $80
6%
↓ $75
3%
↓ $70
1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市場開放時間: Mar 16, 2026, 2:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign a 42% implied probability to WTI Crude Oil (CL) topping $80 per barrel anytime during the week of March 16, driven primarily by persistent OPEC+ production cuts offsetting rising US shale output and softer Chinese demand signals. Current front-month CL futures trade near $77.50/bbl, with recent EIA data showing a surprise 1.4 million barrel inventory build that tempered bullish momentum amid Red Sea shipping disruptions. Key catalysts ahead include the March 19 EIA report and FOMC meeting March 18-19, where hints of steady rates could pressure demand forecasts; a close above $79 resistance would signal stronger upside consensus backed by $150 million in open interest.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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