Recent May 2026 CPI at 4.2% year-over-year, the highest since April 2023 and fueled by energy spikes tied to geopolitical tensions, has reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady or hike later this year, weighing on non-yielding gold. Spot prices have fallen to roughly $4,100–$4,200 per ounce—down about 25% from the January peak near $5,589—and sit below the 200-day moving average for the first time since 2023. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh represents the immediate catalyst, with markets pricing a near-certain hold but rising odds of tighter policy through year-end. Central bank net purchases have slowed markedly in 2026, while institutional long-term targets remain well above current levels, underscoring the tension between short-term rate sensitivity and structural demand.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$120,640 交易量
2026-06-30
8,000美元
<1%
7,000美元
<1%
$6,500
1%
$6,200
1%
6,000美元
1%
5,800美元
1%
5,600美元
1%
5,400美元
2%
5,200美元
1%
5,000美元
3%
4,800美元
4%
4,600美元
10%
$120,640 交易量
8,000美元
$3,531 交易量
<1%
7,000美元
$28,466 交易量
<1%
$6,500
$3,960 交易量
1%
$6,200
$11,744 交易量
1%
6,000美元
$7,767 交易量
1%
5,800美元
$12,533 交易量
1%
5,600美元
$11,269 交易量
1%
5,400美元
$5,852 交易量
2%
5,200美元
$6,576 交易量
1%
5,000美元
$4,494 交易量
3%
4,800美元
$11,764 交易量
4%
4,600美元
$12,685 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Recent May 2026 CPI at 4.2% year-over-year, the highest since April 2023 and fueled by energy spikes tied to geopolitical tensions, has reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady or hike later this year, weighing on non-yielding gold. Spot prices have fallen to roughly $4,100–$4,200 per ounce—down about 25% from the January peak near $5,589—and sit below the 200-day moving average for the first time since 2023. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh represents the immediate catalyst, with markets pricing a near-certain hold but rising odds of tighter policy through year-end. Central bank net purchases have slowed markedly in 2026, while institutional long-term targets remain well above current levels, underscoring the tension between short-term rate sensitivity and structural demand.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市場開放時間： Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
交易量
$120,640結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Recent May 2026 CPI at 4.2% year-over-year, the highest since April 2023 and fueled by energy spikes tied to geopolitical tensions, has reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady or hike later this year, weighing on non-yielding gold. Spot prices have fallen to roughly $4,100–$4,200 per ounce—down about 25% from the January peak near $5,589—and sit below the 200-day moving average for the first time since 2023. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh represents the immediate catalyst, with markets pricing a near-certain hold but rising odds of tighter policy through year-end. Central bank net purchases have slowed markedly in 2026, while institutional long-term targets remain well above current levels, underscoring the tension between short-term rate sensitivity and structural demand.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
交易量
$120,640結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETRecent May 2026 CPI at 4.2% year-over-year, the highest since April 2023 and fueled by energy spikes tied to geopolitical tensions, has reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady or hike later this year, weighing on non-yielding gold. Spot prices have fallen to roughly $4,100–$4,200 per ounce—down about 25% from the January peak near $5,589—and sit below the 200-day moving average for the first time since 2023. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh represents the immediate catalyst, with markets pricing a near-certain hold but rising odds of tighter policy through year-end. Central bank net purchases have slowed markedly in 2026, while institutional long-term targets remain well above current levels, underscoring the tension between short-term rate sensitivity and structural demand.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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