Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices June COMEX Gold (GC) settlement in a tight contest between the $4,600–$5,000 (28.5% implied probability) and $4,200–$4,600 (26.0%) ranges, reflecting spot prices hovering near $4,600/oz and June futures at approximately $4,625 as of May 2. March 2026 CPI surged to 3.3% YoY—highest since May 2024—reinforcing gold's inflation-hedge appeal amid sticky prices, while 10-year Treasury yields at 4.39% exert counterpressure via higher real rates. Easing oil prices and softer dollar in the last 48 hours provided modest lift, but balanced Fed "higher-for-longer" signals keep sentiment rangebound. Key differentiator: April CPI release on May 12, with upside risks from hotter prints tilting toward $4,600+ bins ahead of June expiration.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$4,600-$5,000 29%
$4,200-$4,600 26.2%
5,000至5,400美元 15.4%
$3,800-$4,200 13.4%
$914,599 交易量
$914,599 交易量
低於$3,800
4%
$3,800-$4,200
13%
$4,200-$4,600
26%
$4,600-$5,000
29%
5,000至5,400美元
15%
5,400至5,800美元
8%
$5,800-$6,200
4%
高於$6,200
3%
$4,600-$5,000 29%
$4,200-$4,600 26.2%
5,000至5,400美元 15.4%
$3,800-$4,200 13.4%
$914,599 交易量
$914,599 交易量
低於$3,800
4%
$3,800-$4,200
13%
$4,200-$4,600
26%
$4,600-$5,000
29%
5,000至5,400美元
15%
5,400至5,800美元
8%
$5,800-$6,200
4%
高於$6,200
3%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市場開放時間: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices June COMEX Gold (GC) settlement in a tight contest between the $4,600–$5,000 (28.5% implied probability) and $4,200–$4,600 (26.0%) ranges, reflecting spot prices hovering near $4,600/oz and June futures at approximately $4,625 as of May 2. March 2026 CPI surged to 3.3% YoY—highest since May 2024—reinforcing gold's inflation-hedge appeal amid sticky prices, while 10-year Treasury yields at 4.39% exert counterpressure via higher real rates. Easing oil prices and softer dollar in the last 48 hours provided modest lift, but balanced Fed "higher-for-longer" signals keep sentiment rangebound. Key differentiator: April CPI release on May 12, with upside risks from hotter prints tilting toward $4,600+ bins ahead of June expiration.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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