Strong U.S. jobs data in May has shifted market-implied odds toward a higher likelihood of Federal Reserve rate hikes later in 2026, with probabilities for a December move now exceeding 70 percent. This has driven Treasury yields higher and placed downward pressure on gold, which traded near $4,370 per ounce after erasing year-to-date gains in the first week of June. Traders are closely watching the upcoming May CPI and PPI releases for further clues on inflation persistence amid elevated oil prices. Central bank purchases continue to provide a floor, yet near-term sentiment remains sensitive to any hawkish Fed signals ahead of the June 17 FOMC meeting and month-end resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$5,999,433 交易量
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $9,000
<1%
↑ $8,500
<1%
↑ $8,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,500
<1%
↑ $6,200
1%
↑ 6,000美元
1%
↑ $5,700
1%
↑ $5,500
1%
↑ $5,400
1%
↑ $5,300
1%
↑ $5,200
2%
↑ $5,100
2%
↑ 5,000美元
2%
↑ $4,900
3%
↑ 4,800美元
3%
↑ $4,400
52%
↓ 4,300美元
100%
↓ 4,200美元
79%
↓ $3,800
7%
↓ 3,400美元
2%
$5,999,433 交易量
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $9,000
<1%
↑ $8,500
<1%
↑ $8,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,500
<1%
↑ $6,200
1%
↑ 6,000美元
1%
↑ $5,700
1%
↑ $5,500
1%
↑ $5,400
1%
↑ $5,300
1%
↑ $5,200
2%
↑ $5,100
2%
↑ 5,000美元
2%
↑ $4,900
3%
↑ 4,800美元
3%
↑ $4,400
52%
↓ 4,300美元
100%
↓ 4,200美元
79%
↓ $3,800
7%
↓ 3,400美元
2%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市場開放時間: Jan 29, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Strong U.S. jobs data in May has shifted market-implied odds toward a higher likelihood of Federal Reserve rate hikes later in 2026, with probabilities for a December move now exceeding 70 percent. This has driven Treasury yields higher and placed downward pressure on gold, which traded near $4,370 per ounce after erasing year-to-date gains in the first week of June. Traders are closely watching the upcoming May CPI and PPI releases for further clues on inflation persistence amid elevated oil prices. Central bank purchases continue to provide a floor, yet near-term sentiment remains sensitive to any hawkish Fed signals ahead of the June 17 FOMC meeting and month-end resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions