Recent US-Iran peace developments easing Strait of Hormuz energy risks, alongside May CPI rising 4.2% year-over-year—the highest since 2023—have shifted trader focus toward firmer Fed rate expectations and reduced near-term safe-haven flows. Gold (GC) trades near $4,310–$4,312 per ounce on June 16 after a roughly 5–6% pullback this month from May levels and well below its January peak above $5,500. With end-of-June resolution imminent, market-implied odds reflect these macro crosscurrents: sustained higher real yields and dollar strength capping upside, while any renewed inflation or geopolitical surprises could quickly alter positioning in the final two weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$6,338,575 交易量
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $9,000
<1%
↑ $8,500
<1%
↑ $8,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,500
<1%
↑ $6,200
<1%
↑ 6,000美元
1%
↑ $5,700
1%
↑ $5,500
1%
↑ $5,400
1%
↑ $5,300
1%
↑ $5,200
1%
↑ $5,100
1%
↑ 5,000美元
1%
↑ $4,900
1%
↑ 4,800美元
4%
↑ $4,400
68%
↓ $3,800
2%
↓ 3,400美元
1%
$6,338,575 交易量
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $9,000
<1%
↑ $8,500
<1%
↑ $8,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,500
<1%
↑ $6,200
<1%
↑ 6,000美元
1%
↑ $5,700
1%
↑ $5,500
1%
↑ $5,400
1%
↑ $5,300
1%
↑ $5,200
1%
↑ $5,100
1%
↑ 5,000美元
1%
↑ $4,900
1%
↑ 4,800美元
4%
↑ $4,400
68%
↓ $3,800
2%
↓ 3,400美元
1%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市場開放時間: Jan 29, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Recent US-Iran peace developments easing Strait of Hormuz energy risks, alongside May CPI rising 4.2% year-over-year—the highest since 2023—have shifted trader focus toward firmer Fed rate expectations and reduced near-term safe-haven flows. Gold (GC) trades near $4,310–$4,312 per ounce on June 16 after a roughly 5–6% pullback this month from May levels and well below its January peak above $5,500. With end-of-June resolution imminent, market-implied odds reflect these macro crosscurrents: sustained higher real yields and dollar strength capping upside, while any renewed inflation or geopolitical surprises could quickly alter positioning in the final two weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions