Gold futures (GC) currently trade near $4,330–$4,360 per ounce after retreating from 2026 peaks above $5,600, reflecting market-implied expectations of a more hawkish Federal Reserve path amid persistent inflation concerns and resilient U.S. labor data. Central bank accumulation and safe-haven flows tied to geopolitical tensions, including Middle East developments, continue to provide underlying support, while seasonal patterns and a firmer dollar index have weighed on near-term momentum. With resolution just weeks away, upcoming CPI releases, FOMC communications, and any escalation in global risk factors represent key swing catalysts that could shift the distribution of implied probabilities across price thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$5,894,861 交易量
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $9,000
<1%
↑ $8,500
<1%
↑ $8,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,500
<1%
↑ $6,200
1%
↑ 6,000美元
1%
↑ $5,700
1%
↑ $5,500
1%
↑ $5,400
1%
↑ $5,300
1%
↑ $5,200
1%
↑ $5,100
2%
↑ 5,000美元
2%
↑ $4,900
2%
↑ 4,800美元
8%
↓ 4,300美元
87%
↓ 4,200美元
43%
↓ $3,800
5%
↓ 3,400美元
1%
$5,894,861 交易量
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $9,000
<1%
↑ $8,500
<1%
↑ $8,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,500
<1%
↑ $6,200
1%
↑ 6,000美元
1%
↑ $5,700
1%
↑ $5,500
1%
↑ $5,400
1%
↑ $5,300
1%
↑ $5,200
1%
↑ $5,100
2%
↑ 5,000美元
2%
↑ $4,900
2%
↑ 4,800美元
8%
↓ 4,300美元
87%
↓ 4,200美元
43%
↓ $3,800
5%
↓ 3,400美元
1%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市場開放時間: Jan 29, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Gold futures (GC) currently trade near $4,330–$4,360 per ounce after retreating from 2026 peaks above $5,600, reflecting market-implied expectations of a more hawkish Federal Reserve path amid persistent inflation concerns and resilient U.S. labor data. Central bank accumulation and safe-haven flows tied to geopolitical tensions, including Middle East developments, continue to provide underlying support, while seasonal patterns and a firmer dollar index have weighed on near-term momentum. With resolution just weeks away, upcoming CPI releases, FOMC communications, and any escalation in global risk factors represent key swing catalysts that could shift the distribution of implied probabilities across price thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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