Gold prices currently trade near $4,350 per ounce after declining more than 20% from January 2026 peaks above $5,500, pressured by expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold rates higher for longer amid sticky inflation. May CPI printed at 4.2%, and recent strong employment data have raised the implied probability of a December rate hike to around 67% per CME FedWatch. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting and associated dot plot represent the dominant near-term catalyst, with any hawkish shift likely reinforcing higher Treasury yields and real rates that weigh on non-yielding assets like gold. Persistent central bank purchases provide structural support, yet softer ETF and investor flows have amplified sensitivity to U.S. monetary policy signals through the end of the month.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$6,329,600 交易量
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $9,000
<1%
↑ $8,500
<1%
↑ $8,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,500
<1%
↑ $6,200
<1%
↑ 6,000美元
1%
↑ $5,700
1%
↑ $5,500
1%
↑ $5,400
1%
↑ $5,300
1%
↑ $5,200
1%
↑ $5,100
1%
↑ 5,000美元
2%
↑ $4,900
4%
↑ 4,800美元
6%
↑ $4,400
75%
↓ $3,800
2%
↓ 3,400美元
1%
$6,329,600 交易量
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $9,000
<1%
↑ $8,500
<1%
↑ $8,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,500
<1%
↑ $6,200
<1%
↑ 6,000美元
1%
↑ $5,700
1%
↑ $5,500
1%
↑ $5,400
1%
↑ $5,300
1%
↑ $5,200
1%
↑ $5,100
1%
↑ 5,000美元
2%
↑ $4,900
4%
↑ 4,800美元
6%
↑ $4,400
75%
↓ $3,800
2%
↓ 3,400美元
1%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市場開放時間: Jan 29, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Gold prices currently trade near $4,350 per ounce after declining more than 20% from January 2026 peaks above $5,500, pressured by expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold rates higher for longer amid sticky inflation. May CPI printed at 4.2%, and recent strong employment data have raised the implied probability of a December rate hike to around 67% per CME FedWatch. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting and associated dot plot represent the dominant near-term catalyst, with any hawkish shift likely reinforcing higher Treasury yields and real rates that weigh on non-yielding assets like gold. Persistent central bank purchases provide structural support, yet softer ETF and investor flows have amplified sensitivity to U.S. monetary policy signals through the end of the month.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions