Trader consensus on White House X posts for March 20-27, 2026, clusters evenly around mid-range buckets (40-199) at roughly 35% implied probabilities each, reflecting deep uncertainty over the 2024 presidential election winner and their administration's communication cadence. Current Biden White House patterns show 50-100 weekly posts during routine periods, spiking with crises or announcements, while a potential second Trump term could alter volume based on past high-activity official accounts amid his personal platform preferences. Unpredictable events—like congressional sessions, foreign policy developments, or domestic emergencies—that week keep odds tight. Election resolution post-November 2024 or emerging 2026 calendars could shift sentiment toward higher or lower ranges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於白宮# post 2026年3月20日至3月27日?
白宮# post 2026年3月20日至3月27日?
40-59 36%
60-79 35%
80-99 35%
100-119 35%
<20
7%
20-39
8%
40-59
36%
60-79
35%
80-99
35%
100-119
35%
120-139
35%
140-159
35%
160-179
35%
180-199
35%
200+
35%
40-59 36%
60-79 35%
80-99 35%
100-119 35%
<20
7%
20-39
8%
40-59
36%
60-79
35%
80-99
35%
100-119
35%
120-139
35%
140-159
35%
160-179
35%
180-199
35%
200+
35%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間: Mar 17, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on White House X posts for March 20-27, 2026, clusters evenly around mid-range buckets (40-199) at roughly 35% implied probabilities each, reflecting deep uncertainty over the 2024 presidential election winner and their administration's communication cadence. Current Biden White House patterns show 50-100 weekly posts during routine periods, spiking with crises or announcements, while a potential second Trump term could alter volume based on past high-activity official accounts amid his personal platform preferences. Unpredictable events—like congressional sessions, foreign policy developments, or domestic emergencies—that week keep odds tight. Election resolution post-November 2024 or emerging 2026 calendars could shift sentiment toward higher or lower ranges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions