Market icon
科技·App Store

ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

Market icon
科技·App Store

ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

NEW
Apr 14, 2026
Polymarket

$11 交易量

Polymarket

March 31

$0 交易量

44%

April 7

$6 交易量

52%

4 月 15 日

$5 交易量

60%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is no longer the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ChatGPT is no longer the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point before the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT currently leads as the top free iPhone app in the US App Store, reclaiming the spot after early March backlash from OpenAI's Pentagon contract prompted a 295% uninstall surge and propelled Anthropic's Claude to #1 briefly, fueled by user preference for its military data refusal stance. A subsequent GPT-5.4 model update—boasting superior reasoning, computer use, and multimodal features—spurred download recovery, outpacing rivals like Google Gemini. Mid-month, March Madness apps temporarily unseated it amid NCAA tournament hype, highlighting rankings' volatility to seasonal events. Traders eye the Final Four (April 5) and championship (April 7) as sports downloads wane, alongside potential AI capability demos or regulatory scrutiny on defense ties.

ChatGPT currently leads as the top free iPhone app in the US App Store, reclaiming the spot after early March backlash from OpenAI's Pentagon contract prompted a 295% uninstall surge and propelled Anthropic's Claude to #1 briefly, fueled by user preference for its military data refusal stance. A subsequent GPT-5.4 model update—boasting superior reasoning, computer use, and multimodal features—spurred download recovery, outpacing rivals like Google Gemini. Mid-month, March Madness apps temporarily unseated it amid NCAA tournament hype, highlighting rankings' volatility to seasonal events. Traders eye the Final Four (April 5) and championship (April 7) as sports downloads wane, alongside potential AI capability demos or regulatory scrutiny on defense ties.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is no longer the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ChatGPT is no longer the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point before the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT currently leads as the top free iPhone app in the US App Store, reclaiming the spot after early March backlash from OpenAI's Pentagon contract prompted a 295% uninstall surge and propelled Anthropic's Claude to #1 briefly, fueled by user preference for its military data refusal stance. A subsequent GPT-5.4 model update—boasting superior reasoning, computer use, and multimodal features—spurred download recovery, outpacing rivals like Google Gemini. Mid-month, March Madness apps temporarily unseated it amid NCAA tournament hype, highlighting rankings' volatility to seasonal events. Traders eye the Final Four (April 5) and championship (April 7) as sports downloads wane, alongside potential AI capability demos or regulatory scrutiny on defense ties.

ChatGPT currently leads as the top free iPhone app in the US App Store, reclaiming the spot after early March backlash from OpenAI's Pentagon contract prompted a 295% uninstall surge and propelled Anthropic's Claude to #1 briefly, fueled by user preference for its military data refusal stance. A subsequent GPT-5.4 model update—boasting superior reasoning, computer use, and multimodal features—spurred download recovery, outpacing rivals like Google Gemini. Mid-month, March Madness apps temporarily unseated it amid NCAA tournament hype, highlighting rankings' volatility to seasonal events. Traders eye the Final Four (April 5) and championship (April 7) as sports downloads wane, alongside potential AI capability demos or regulatory scrutiny on defense ties.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4 月 15 日" at 60%, followed by "April 7" at 52%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" is "4 月 15 日" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "April 7" at 52%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.