Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count for April 2-4 closely splits between 65-89 posts (36.5% implied probability) and 40-64 (32.5%), reflecting his recent volatile posting rhythm averaging 20-30 daily amid fluctuating news cycles. The March 26-28 period resolved in the 65-89 range, while March 29 dipped to just 13 posts per trackers, and the ongoing March 30-April 1 market favors higher output at 75% for 65-89, underscoring daily swings tied to Tesla anniversaries, xAI buzz, and political replies. Key differentiators include potential viral catalysts like SpaceX launches or Grok updates that could spike volume above 90, versus quieter periods if no major announcements emerge; traders eye real-time X engagement metrics as the market nears resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月2日至4月4日？
Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月2日至4月4日？
65-89 37%
40-64 33%
90-114 20%
少於40條 6%
最新
$86,079 交易量
最新
$86,079 交易量
2026-04-04
少於40條
6%
40-64
33%
65-89
37%
90-114
20%
115-139
6%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 37%
40-64 33%
90-114 20%
少於40條 6%
最新
$86,079 交易量
最新
$86,079 交易量
2026-04-04
少於40條
$10,145 交易量
6%
40-64
$4,199 交易量
33%
65-89
$4,685 交易量
37%
90-114
$4,089 交易量
20%
115-139
$6,397 交易量
6%
140-164
$10,133 交易量
1%
165-189
$10,822 交易量
1%
190-214
$9,344 交易量
<1%
215-239
$17,427 交易量
<1%
240+
$8,838 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count for April 2-4 closely splits between 65-89 posts (36.5% implied probability) and 40-64 (32.5%), reflecting his recent volatile posting rhythm averaging 20-30 daily amid fluctuating news cycles. The March 26-28 period resolved in the 65-89 range, while March 29 dipped to just 13 posts per trackers, and the ongoing March 30-April 1 market favors higher output at 75% for 65-89, underscoring daily swings tied to Tesla anniversaries, xAI buzz, and political replies. Key differentiators include potential viral catalysts like SpaceX launches or Grok updates that could spike volume above 90, versus quieter periods if no major announcements emerge; traders eye real-time X engagement metrics as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$86,079結束日期
2026-04-04市場開放時間
Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count for April 2-4 closely splits between 65-89 posts (36.5% implied probability) and 40-64 (32.5%), reflecting his recent volatile posting rhythm averaging 20-30 daily amid fluctuating news cycles. The March 26-28 period resolved in the 65-89 range, while March 29 dipped to just 13 posts per trackers, and the ongoing March 30-April 1 market favors higher output at 75% for 65-89, underscoring daily swings tied to Tesla anniversaries, xAI buzz, and political replies. Key differentiators include potential viral catalysts like SpaceX launches or Grok updates that could spike volume above 90, versus quieter periods if no major announcements emerge; traders eye real-time X engagement metrics as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$86,079結束日期
2026-04-04市場開放時間
Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count for April 2-4 closely splits between 65-89 posts (36.5% implied probability) and 40-64 (32.5%), reflecting his recent volatile posting rhythm averaging 20-30 daily amid fluctuating news cycles. The March 26-28 period resolved in the 65-89 range, while March 29 dipped to just 13 posts per trackers, and the ongoing March 30-April 1 market favors higher output at 75% for 65-89, underscoring daily swings tied to Tesla anniversaries, xAI buzz, and political replies. Key differentiators include potential viral catalysts like SpaceX launches or Grok updates that could spike volume above 90, versus quieter periods if no major announcements emerge; traders eye real-time X engagement metrics as the market nears resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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