Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Donald Trump's recent Truth Social posting patterns, with the prior week of March 24-31 totaling 93 posts at a daily average of 13, anchoring the tight race between 100-119 (32.5%) and 80-99 (29.0%) outcomes for April 3-10. This positioning stems from consistent mid-range activity amid his presidential duties, tempered by occasional late-night sprees but fewer overall posts than 2025's 18-per-day average, amid ongoing foreign policy commentary on Iran and allies. The contest remains close due to variability from news-driven surges—such as diplomatic escalations or executive announcements—or quieter periods like Easter weekend on April 5, which could push totals toward higher bins if tensions flare or lower if schedules lighten.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於100-119 34%
80-99 30%
120-139 23%
60-79 8.3%
少於20
<1%
20-39
1%
40-59
1%
60-79
8%
80-99
30%
100-119
34%
120-139
23%
140-159
8%
160-179
5%
180-199
5%
200+
5%
100-119 34%
80-99 30%
120-139 23%
60-79 8.3%
少於20
<1%
20-39
1%
40-59
1%
60-79
8%
80-99
30%
100-119
34%
120-139
23%
140-159
8%
160-179
5%
180-199
5%
200+
5%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間: Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Donald Trump's recent Truth Social posting patterns, with the prior week of March 24-31 totaling 93 posts at a daily average of 13, anchoring the tight race between 100-119 (32.5%) and 80-99 (29.0%) outcomes for April 3-10. This positioning stems from consistent mid-range activity amid his presidential duties, tempered by occasional late-night sprees but fewer overall posts than 2025's 18-per-day average, amid ongoing foreign policy commentary on Iran and allies. The contest remains close due to variability from news-driven surges—such as diplomatic escalations or executive announcements—or quieter periods like Easter weekend on April 5, which could push totals toward higher bins if tensions flare or lower if schedules lighten.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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