Following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in late February 2026 amid reported Israeli strikes on Iran, his official @khamenei_ir X account—now featuring "Statements from Imam Sayyid Ali Khamenei, the martyred Leader"—has maintained a low posting cadence of 4-6 archival quotes per week, exemplified by five posts from March 22-28 timed to US politics and Resistance Front themes. This pattern drives trader consensus clustering around 5-9 (35.5%) and 10-14 (31.5%) posts for April 3-10, with <5 (30%) close behind, reflecting uncertainty over bursts tied to geopolitical tensions like Iran-Zionist escalations or successor Mojtaba Khamenei's transition signals. A major diplomatic statement, regional military action, or Iranian holiday could boost volume above 15, while sustained quiet would favor under-10 outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Khamenei # posts 2026年4月3日至4月10日?
Khamenei # posts 2026年4月3日至4月10日?
5-9 49%
10-14 32%
<5 30%
15-19 26%
<5
30%
5-9
36%
10-14
32%
15-19
26%
20-24
15%
25-29
15%
30-34
12%
35-39
8%
40-44
8%
45-49
8%
50-54
8%
55-59
8%
60+
7%
5-9 49%
10-14 32%
<5 30%
15-19 26%
<5
30%
5-9
36%
10-14
32%
15-19
26%
20-24
15%
25-29
15%
30-34
12%
35-39
8%
40-44
8%
45-49
8%
50-54
8%
55-59
8%
60+
7%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間: Mar 31, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in late February 2026 amid reported Israeli strikes on Iran, his official @khamenei_ir X account—now featuring "Statements from Imam Sayyid Ali Khamenei, the martyred Leader"—has maintained a low posting cadence of 4-6 archival quotes per week, exemplified by five posts from March 22-28 timed to US politics and Resistance Front themes. This pattern drives trader consensus clustering around 5-9 (35.5%) and 10-14 (31.5%) posts for April 3-10, with <5 (30%) close behind, reflecting uncertainty over bursts tied to geopolitical tensions like Iran-Zionist escalations or successor Mojtaba Khamenei's transition signals. A major diplomatic statement, regional military action, or Iranian holiday could boost volume above 15, while sustained quiet would favor under-10 outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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