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政治·提及

Who will Trump name in April?

Market icon
政治·提及

Who will Trump name in April?

最新
2026-04-30
Polymarket

$773 交易量

Polymarket

Netanyahu

$144 交易量

97%

Newsom / Newscum

$53 交易量

89%

Delcy

$36 交易量

72%

Caine

$7 交易量

71%

Khamenei / Khomeini

$120 交易量

83%

Maduro

$5 交易量

66%

Keir / Starmer

$38 交易量

80%

Emmanuel / Macron

$3 交易量

78%

Kushner

$36 交易量

77%

Kamala

$13 交易量

77%

Homan

$60 交易量

73%

Warsh

$3 交易量

68%

Gianni / Infantino

$102 交易量

68%

Oz

$0 交易量

67%

Ilhan / Omar

$6 交易量

75%

Schumer

$0 交易量

59%

Castro

$0 交易量

54%

Rand Paul

$0 交易量

54%

Massie

$0 交易量

54%

Leavitt

$0 交易量

53%

Elon / Musk

$0 交易量

53%

Leo XIV / Pope

$0 交易量

52%

Friedrich / Merz

$0 交易量

51%

Zohran / Mamdani

$45 交易量

63%

Warren / Pocahontas

$88 交易量

51%

Bush

$0 交易量

50%

Bernie

$0 交易量

47%

Machado

$0 交易量

46%

Hillary

$0 交易量

45%

Paxton

$0 交易量

44%

Kavanaugh

$0 交易量

43%

Talarico

$0 交易量

42%

Nicki / Minaj

$0 交易量

42%

Jensen / Huang

$0 交易量

38%

Bolsonaro

$0 交易量

34%

Zuckerberg

$7 交易量

39%

Viktor / Orbán

$6 交易量

54%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors President Trump verbally mentioning Netanyahu (90%+ implied probability) during April public appearances, propelled by his April 1 address on Iran amid Israel's declaration that Tehran no longer poses an existential threat following recent de-escalation signals. Elevated odds for California Gov. Newsom (76-88%) and former VP Kamala Harris (68-77%) reflect Trump's pattern of targeting Democratic figures in speeches, while Fed nominee Kevin Warsh (68-71%) gains from his March confirmation push amid economic policy debates. Probabilities for foreign leaders like Maduro (66%) and Delcy Rodriguez (71%) track ongoing Venezuela sanctions rhetoric. Easter events on April 1 and 6, plus cabinet meetings, loom as key catalysts for verbal references in audio/video statements.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
交易量
$773
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors President Trump verbally mentioning Netanyahu (90%+ implied probability) during April public appearances, propelled by his April 1 address on Iran amid Israel's declaration that Tehran no longer poses an existential threat following recent de-escalation signals. Elevated odds for California Gov. Newsom (76-88%) and former VP Kamala Harris (68-77%) reflect Trump's pattern of targeting Democratic figures in speeches, while Fed nominee Kevin Warsh (68-71%) gains from his March confirmation push amid economic policy debates. Probabilities for foreign leaders like Maduro (66%) and Delcy Rodriguez (71%) track ongoing Venezuela sanctions rhetoric. Easter events on April 1 and 6, plus cabinet meetings, loom as key catalysts for verbal references in audio/video statements.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
交易量
$773
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Trump name in April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 37 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Netanyahu" at 97%, followed by "Newsom / Newscum" at 89%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Who will Trump name in April?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Who will Trump name in April?," browse the 37 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Trump name in April?" is "Netanyahu" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Newsom / Newscum" at 89%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Trump name in April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.