Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt arriving 25-30 minutes late to the next press briefing at 86.3%, with 20-25 minutes at 20%, reflecting her consistent pattern of 15-35 minute delays in recent sessions. This positioning stems from March briefings, including the March 30 session amid Iran updates and domestic policy announcements, where actual podium appearances have repeatedly clustered in the 25-30 minute window despite standard 1-2 PM ET scheduling. No major disruptions or improvements have altered this trend in the past 30 days, underscoring traders' reliance on historical base rates for her timing amid administration priorities. The next briefing remains the key catalyst, with potential for variance from urgent diplomatic developments or schedule shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$8,689 交易量
$8,689 交易量
20 - 25分鐘
20%
25 - 30分鐘
86%
$8,689 交易量
$8,689 交易量
20 - 25分鐘
20%
25 - 30分鐘
86%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt arriving 25-30 minutes late to the next press briefing at 86.3%, with 20-25 minutes at 20%, reflecting her consistent pattern of 15-35 minute delays in recent sessions. This positioning stems from March briefings, including the March 30 session amid Iran updates and domestic policy announcements, where actual podium appearances have repeatedly clustered in the 25-30 minute window despite standard 1-2 PM ET scheduling. No major disruptions or improvements have altered this trend in the past 30 days, underscoring traders' reliance on historical base rates for her timing amid administration priorities. The next briefing remains the key catalyst, with potential for variance from urgent diplomatic developments or schedule shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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