President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social activity has focused intensely on foreign policy tensions with Iran, highlighted by his March 23 post announcing a pause in planned U.S. strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure to allow negotiations over reopening the Strait of Hormuz, after an initial 48-hour ultimatum. This de-escalation signal, coupled with reports of Trump seeking a swift end to any conflict, reflects his pattern of using the platform for direct diplomatic updates. Domestically, an ongoing DHS-related government shutdown—with Polymarket traders pricing resolutions around March 31—could prompt posts on appropriations or executive actions. No public events are confirmed for March 30-April 5, though Easter Sunday on April 5 raises odds of holiday greetings amid these high-stakes issues.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於NEW
Apr 5, 2026
Keir / Starmer
41%
Ceasefire
53%
Epic Fury
41%
Gay
41%
Panican
41%
Palestine / Palestinian
41%
Memphis
41%
Statue
41%
Kuwait
41%
Boeing
41%
Free Tina Peters
41%
Barack Hussein Obama
44%
Sleepy Joe Biden
41%
Peace Through Strength
41%
Bully of the Middle East
41%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
41%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
41%
Democrat Shutdown
43%
Pahlavi
41%
Elon / Musk
41%
Terrorist
45%
Congresswoman
41%
Happy Easter
46%
Easter Egg
52%
Movie Star
42%
$1 交易量
Keir / Starmer
$1 交易量
41%
Ceasefire
$0 交易量
53%
Epic Fury
$0 交易量
41%
Gay
$0 交易量
41%
Panican
$0 交易量
41%
Palestine / Palestinian
$0 交易量
41%
Memphis
$0 交易量
41%
Statue
$0 交易量
41%
Kuwait
$0 交易量
41%
Boeing
$0 交易量
41%
Free Tina Peters
$0 交易量
41%
Barack Hussein Obama
$0 交易量
44%
Sleepy Joe Biden
$0 交易量
41%
Peace Through Strength
$0 交易量
41%
Bully of the Middle East
$0 交易量
41%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
$0 交易量
41%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$0 交易量
41%
Democrat Shutdown
$0 交易量
43%
Pahlavi
$0 交易量
41%
Elon / Musk
$0 交易量
41%
Terrorist
$0 交易量
45%
Congresswoman
$0 交易量
41%
Happy Easter
$0 交易量
46%
Easter Egg
$0 交易量
52%
Movie Star
$0 交易量
42%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social activity has focused intensely on foreign policy tensions with Iran, highlighted by his March 23 post announcing a pause in planned U.S. strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure to allow negotiations over reopening the Strait of Hormuz, after an initial 48-hour ultimatum. This de-escalation signal, coupled with reports of Trump seeking a swift end to any conflict, reflects his pattern of using the platform for direct diplomatic updates. Domestically, an ongoing DHS-related government shutdown—with Polymarket traders pricing resolutions around March 31—could prompt posts on appropriations or executive actions. No public events are confirmed for March 30-April 5, though Easter Sunday on April 5 raises odds of holiday greetings amid these high-stakes issues.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
市場開放時間： Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
交易量
$1結束日期
Apr 5, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social activity has focused intensely on foreign policy tensions with Iran, highlighted by his March 23 post announcing a pause in planned U.S. strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure to allow negotiations over reopening the Strait of Hormuz, after an initial 48-hour ultimatum. This de-escalation signal, coupled with reports of Trump seeking a swift end to any conflict, reflects his pattern of using the platform for direct diplomatic updates. Domestically, an ongoing DHS-related government shutdown—with Polymarket traders pricing resolutions around March 31—could prompt posts on appropriations or executive actions. No public events are confirmed for March 30-April 5, though Easter Sunday on April 5 raises odds of holiday greetings amid these high-stakes issues.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
交易量
$1結束日期
Apr 5, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social activity has focused intensely on foreign policy tensions with Iran, highlighted by his March 23 post announcing a pause in planned U.S. strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure to allow negotiations over reopening the Strait of Hormuz, after an initial 48-hour ultimatum. This de-escalation signal, coupled with reports of Trump seeking a swift end to any conflict, reflects his pattern of using the platform for direct diplomatic updates. Domestically, an ongoing DHS-related government shutdown—with Polymarket traders pricing resolutions around March 31—could prompt posts on appropriations or executive actions. No public events are confirmed for March 30-April 5, though Easter Sunday on April 5 raises odds of holiday greetings amid these high-stakes issues.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions