Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair extends to May 2026, with legal protections limiting presidential removal to instances of cause, a high bar upheld by courts. President-elect Trump, who has long criticized Fed interest rate policy, stated post-election in a November 2024 interview that he has no intention of firing Powell before term's end and anticipates voluntary rate cuts amid cooling inflation. No Trump-initiated investigation into Powell exists or has been publicly announced by the transition team. Key upcoming catalysts include the December 17-18 FOMC meeting on rates, Treasury Secretary nomination developments, and post-January 20 inauguration executive actions that could indirectly influence Fed independence without triggering formal probes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於特朗普在…前放棄對鮑威爾的調查？
特朗普在…前放棄對鮑威爾的調查？
NEW
Apr 30, 2026
April 30
32%
6月30日
51%
$1,721 交易量
April 30
$594 交易量
32%
6月30日
$1,126 交易量
51%
Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair extends to May 2026, with legal protections limiting presidential removal to instances of cause, a high bar upheld by courts. President-elect Trump, who has long criticized Fed interest rate policy, stated post-election in a November 2024 interview that he has no intention of firing Powell before term's end and anticipates voluntary rate cuts amid cooling inflation. No Trump-initiated investigation into Powell exists or has been publicly announced by the transition team. Key upcoming catalysts include the December 17-18 FOMC meeting on rates, Treasury Secretary nomination developments, and post-January 20 inauguration executive actions that could indirectly influence Fed independence without triggering formal probes.
Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
交易量
$1,721結束日期
Jun 30, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair extends to May 2026, with legal protections limiting presidential removal to instances of cause, a high bar upheld by courts. President-elect Trump, who has long criticized Fed interest rate policy, stated post-election in a November 2024 interview that he has no intention of firing Powell before term's end and anticipates voluntary rate cuts amid cooling inflation. No Trump-initiated investigation into Powell exists or has been publicly announced by the transition team. Key upcoming catalysts include the December 17-18 FOMC meeting on rates, Treasury Secretary nomination developments, and post-January 20 inauguration executive actions that could indirectly influence Fed independence without triggering formal probes.
Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,721結束日期
Jun 30, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair extends to May 2026, with legal protections limiting presidential removal to instances of cause, a high bar upheld by courts. President-elect Trump, who has long criticized Fed interest rate policy, stated post-election in a November 2024 interview that he has no intention of firing Powell before term's end and anticipates voluntary rate cuts amid cooling inflation. No Trump-initiated investigation into Powell exists or has been publicly announced by the transition team. Key upcoming catalysts include the December 17-18 FOMC meeting on rates, Treasury Secretary nomination developments, and post-January 20 inauguration executive actions that could indirectly influence Fed independence without triggering formal probes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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