Polymarket traders are pricing a 65% implied probability for Amazon (AMZN) to close above $195 on March 24, driven primarily by robust AWS cloud revenue growth outpacing expectations in Q3 earnings, which beat consensus EPS of $1.14 with 10% YoY sales rise to $158B. Current share price hovers at $188 amid AI capex optimism, though tempered by softening consumer spending and high interest rates pressuring e-commerce margins. Key risks include the April 1 FOMC rate decision and Q1 earnings on April 24; a close above $195 requires sustained momentum past $192 resistance, reflecting trader consensus on 15% upside from macro tailwinds like potential Fed cuts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於195美元
96%
200美元
93%
205美元
50%
210美元
50%
215美元
50%
$153 交易量
195美元
96%
200美元
93%
205美元
50%
210美元
50%
215美元
50%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市場開放時間: Mar 23, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders are pricing a 65% implied probability for Amazon (AMZN) to close above $195 on March 24, driven primarily by robust AWS cloud revenue growth outpacing expectations in Q3 earnings, which beat consensus EPS of $1.14 with 10% YoY sales rise to $158B. Current share price hovers at $188 amid AI capex optimism, though tempered by softening consumer spending and high interest rates pressuring e-commerce margins. Key risks include the April 1 FOMC rate decision and Q1 earnings on April 24; a close above $195 requires sustained momentum past $192 resistance, reflecting trader consensus on 15% upside from macro tailwinds like potential Fed cuts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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