Recent debt-ceiling legislation enacted in July 2025 raised the statutory limit by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion, pushing the next potential breach into 2027 according to Congressional Budget Office and Bipartisan Policy Center projections. Moody’s May 2025 downgrade to Aa1 carried a stable outlook, while Fitch affirmed its AA+ rating in August 2026 amid continued large deficits but without fresh signs of acute political gridlock or default risk. With appropriations and reconciliation processes proceeding without immediate standoffs, rating agencies lack near-term catalysts for further action before the end of 2026. Traders therefore assign an 85.5 percent probability that no additional downgrade occurs before 2027.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於在2027年之前再次下調美國債務評級？
在2027年之前再次下調美國債務評級？
是
15% 機率
$12,821 交易量
$12,821 交易量
2026-12-30
是
15% 機率
$12,821 交易量
$12,821 交易量
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent debt-ceiling legislation enacted in July 2025 raised the statutory limit by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion, pushing the next potential breach into 2027 according to Congressional Budget Office and Bipartisan Policy Center projections. Moody’s May 2025 downgrade to Aa1 carried a stable outlook, while Fitch affirmed its AA+ rating in August 2026 amid continued large deficits but without fresh signs of acute political gridlock or default risk. With appropriations and reconciliation processes proceeding without immediate standoffs, rating agencies lack near-term catalysts for further action before the end of 2026. Traders therefore assign an 85.5 percent probability that no additional downgrade occurs before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
交易量
$12,821結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent debt-ceiling legislation enacted in July 2025 raised the statutory limit by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion, pushing the next potential breach into 2027 according to Congressional Budget Office and Bipartisan Policy Center projections. Moody’s May 2025 downgrade to Aa1 carried a stable outlook, while Fitch affirmed its AA+ rating in August 2026 amid continued large deficits but without fresh signs of acute political gridlock or default risk. With appropriations and reconciliation processes proceeding without immediate standoffs, rating agencies lack near-term catalysts for further action before the end of 2026. Traders therefore assign an 85.5 percent probability that no additional downgrade occurs before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$12,821結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent debt-ceiling legislation enacted in July 2025 raised the statutory limit by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion, pushing the next potential breach into 2027 according to Congressional Budget Office and Bipartisan Policy Center projections. Moody’s May 2025 downgrade to Aa1 carried a stable outlook, while Fitch affirmed its AA+ rating in August 2026 amid continued large deficits but without fresh signs of acute political gridlock or default risk. With appropriations and reconciliation processes proceeding without immediate standoffs, rating agencies lack near-term catalysts for further action before the end of 2026. Traders therefore assign an 85.5 percent probability that no additional downgrade occurs before 2027.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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