Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting private estimates clustering around 3% amid pass-through from elevated international oil prices triggered by Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict. February's official INDEC reading held steady at 2.9%—stable from January but above the 2.7–2.8% median forecast—driven by regulated prices, utilities surges, and food costs, with annual inflation ticking up to 33.1%. Recent consultora projections, such as Libertad y Progreso at 2.9% and others near 3.3%, alongside food price deceleration late in the month, anchor the frontrunner, while lower bins fade amid persistent inertia. INDEC's official release, expected imminently, remains the key resolution catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Argentina Monthly Inflation - March
Argentina Monthly Inflation - March
3.1–3.3% 63%
2.8–3.0% 22%
3.4–3.6% 4.0%
2.5–2.7% 3.5%
$19,272 交易量
$19,272 交易量
2026-04-14
≤2.1%
1%
2.2–2.4%
2%
2.5–2.7%
6%
2.8–3.0%
22%
3.1–3.3%
63%
3.4–3.6%
4%
3.7%+
2%
3.1–3.3% 63%
2.8–3.0% 22%
3.4–3.6% 4.0%
2.5–2.7% 3.5%
$19,272 交易量
$19,272 交易量
2026-04-14
≤2.1%
$1,598 交易量
1%
2.2–2.4%
$1,126 交易量
2%
2.5–2.7%
$1,452 交易量
6%
2.8–3.0%
$1,937 交易量
22%
3.1–3.3%
$6,361 交易量
63%
3.4–3.6%
$2,714 交易量
4%
3.7%+
$4,084 交易量
2%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting private estimates clustering around 3% amid pass-through from elevated international oil prices triggered by Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict. February's official INDEC reading held steady at 2.9%—stable from January but above the 2.7–2.8% median forecast—driven by regulated prices, utilities surges, and food costs, with annual inflation ticking up to 33.1%. Recent consultora projections, such as Libertad y Progreso at 2.9% and others near 3.3%, alongside food price deceleration late in the month, anchor the frontrunner, while lower bins fade amid persistent inertia. INDEC's official release, expected imminently, remains the key resolution catalyst.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市場開放時間： Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ET
交易量
$19,272結束日期
2026-04-14市場開放時間
Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting private estimates clustering around 3% amid pass-through from elevated international oil prices triggered by Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict. February's official INDEC reading held steady at 2.9%—stable from January but above the 2.7–2.8% median forecast—driven by regulated prices, utilities surges, and food costs, with annual inflation ticking up to 33.1%. Recent consultora projections, such as Libertad y Progreso at 2.9% and others near 3.3%, alongside food price deceleration late in the month, anchor the frontrunner, while lower bins fade amid persistent inertia. INDEC's official release, expected imminently, remains the key resolution catalyst.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$19,272結束日期
2026-04-14市場開放時間
Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting private estimates clustering around 3% amid pass-through from elevated international oil prices triggered by Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict. February's official INDEC reading held steady at 2.9%—stable from January but above the 2.7–2.8% median forecast—driven by regulated prices, utilities surges, and food costs, with annual inflation ticking up to 33.1%. Recent consultora projections, such as Libertad y Progreso at 2.9% and others near 3.3%, alongside food price deceleration late in the month, anchor the frontrunner, while lower bins fade amid persistent inertia. INDEC's official release, expected imminently, remains the key resolution catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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