Cilia Flores and Nicolás Maduro have remained in U.S. pretrial detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since their January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. They face federal charges including conspiracy to import cocaine and weapons offenses in the Southern District of New York, with a trial scheduled for June 2027. On September 10, 2026, Flores’s attorneys filed a motion seeking release to restrictive home confinement, citing a documented worsening of her preexisting mitral valve prolapse, episodes of chest pain and arrhythmia, significant weight loss, and inadequate medical care in custody. Federal prosecutors oppose the request on flight-risk grounds, and U.S. District Judge Alvin Hellerstein has not yet ruled, though he ordered her medical records sealed. Traders monitor the pending motion, any diplomatic signals, and procedural developments for signs that could shift the probability of release before specific resolution dates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$1,377,934 交易量
2026-01-30
12月31日
45%
$1,377,934 交易量
12月31日
$331,332 交易量
45%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores and Nicolás Maduro have remained in U.S. pretrial detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since their January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. They face federal charges including conspiracy to import cocaine and weapons offenses in the Southern District of New York, with a trial scheduled for June 2027. On September 10, 2026, Flores’s attorneys filed a motion seeking release to restrictive home confinement, citing a documented worsening of her preexisting mitral valve prolapse, episodes of chest pain and arrhythmia, significant weight loss, and inadequate medical care in custody. Federal prosecutors oppose the request on flight-risk grounds, and U.S. District Judge Alvin Hellerstein has not yet ruled, though he ordered her medical records sealed. Traders monitor the pending motion, any diplomatic signals, and procedural developments for signs that could shift the probability of release before specific resolution dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
交易量
$1,377,934結束日期
2026-01-31市場開放時間
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores and Nicolás Maduro have remained in U.S. pretrial detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since their January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. They face federal charges including conspiracy to import cocaine and weapons offenses in the Southern District of New York, with a trial scheduled for June 2027. On September 10, 2026, Flores’s attorneys filed a motion seeking release to restrictive home confinement, citing a documented worsening of her preexisting mitral valve prolapse, episodes of chest pain and arrhythmia, significant weight loss, and inadequate medical care in custody. Federal prosecutors oppose the request on flight-risk grounds, and U.S. District Judge Alvin Hellerstein has not yet ruled, though he ordered her medical records sealed. Traders monitor the pending motion, any diplomatic signals, and procedural developments for signs that could shift the probability of release before specific resolution dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,377,934結束日期
2026-01-31市場開放時間
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETCilia Flores and Nicolás Maduro have remained in U.S. pretrial detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since their January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. They face federal charges including conspiracy to import cocaine and weapons offenses in the Southern District of New York, with a trial scheduled for June 2027. On September 10, 2026, Flores’s attorneys filed a motion seeking release to restrictive home confinement, citing a documented worsening of her preexisting mitral valve prolapse, episodes of chest pain and arrhythmia, significant weight loss, and inadequate medical care in custody. Federal prosecutors oppose the request on flight-risk grounds, and U.S. District Judge Alvin Hellerstein has not yet ruled, though he ordered her medical records sealed. Traders monitor the pending motion, any diplomatic signals, and procedural developments for signs that could shift the probability of release before specific resolution dates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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