Seán Kyne secured the Galway West Dáil seat in the May 22 by-election through strong performance in later counts under Ireland’s single transferable vote system, overtaking first-preference leader Noel Thomas of Independent Ireland on the eleventh count after receiving decisive transfers from eliminated candidates including Labour’s Helen Ogbu. Kyne’s established local profile as a former TD and current Senator, combined with Fine Gael’s historical strength in the constituency and support from centre-right voters, positioned him to consolidate preferences effectively once lower-polling contenders were excluded. Other listed candidates trailed significantly throughout the process with no viable path to victory. A narrow final margin or formal recount challenge could theoretically delay formal resolution, though the official declaration has already confirmed the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Seán Kyne 100.0%
Sheila Garrity <1%
奈爾·墨菲 <1%
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich <1%
$257,367 交易量
$257,367 交易量
Sheila Garrity
否
Seán Kyne
是
奈爾·墨菲
否
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich
否
奧拉·紐金特
否
Helen Ogbu
否
丹曼·魯克
否
諾埃爾·托馬斯
否
托馬斯·韋爾比
否
麥克·卡伯德
否
Mark Lohan
否
Seán Kyne 100.0%
Sheila Garrity <1%
奈爾·墨菲 <1%
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich <1%
$257,367 交易量
$257,367 交易量
Sheila Garrity
否
Seán Kyne
是
奈爾·墨菲
否
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich
否
奧拉·紐金特
否
Helen Ogbu
否
丹曼·魯克
否
諾埃爾·托馬斯
否
托馬斯·韋爾比
否
麥克·卡伯德
否
Mark Lohan
否
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
市場開放時間: Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Seán Kyne secured the Galway West Dáil seat in the May 22 by-election through strong performance in later counts under Ireland’s single transferable vote system, overtaking first-preference leader Noel Thomas of Independent Ireland on the eleventh count after receiving decisive transfers from eliminated candidates including Labour’s Helen Ogbu. Kyne’s established local profile as a former TD and current Senator, combined with Fine Gael’s historical strength in the constituency and support from centre-right voters, positioned him to consolidate preferences effectively once lower-polling contenders were excluded. Other listed candidates trailed significantly throughout the process with no viable path to victory. A narrow final margin or formal recount challenge could theoretically delay formal resolution, though the official declaration has already confirmed the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions