Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the highest temperature on May 5 reached exactly 14°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability as preliminary data finalized post-quality control. Cool northerly winds and persistent low cloud cover suppressed daytime heating under a weak pressure gradient, aligning with ECMWF and HARMONIE model outputs from the prior 48 hours that clustered maxima in the mid-teens but trended cooler amid overcast skies. Early May climatology averages 15–16°C highs, making this unremarkable. Final KNMI validation could theoretically revise upward if a sensor anomaly is detected, though such changes are rare for settled daily maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 5?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 5?
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$95,445 交易量
$95,445 交易量
2026-05-05
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$95,445 交易量
$95,445 交易量
2026-05-05
10°C or below
$692 交易量
No
11°C
$657 交易量
No
12°C
$2,015 交易量
No
13°C
$1,493 交易量
No
14°C
$21,709 交易量
Yes
15°C
$14,293 交易量
No
16°C
$16,627 交易量
No
17°C
$14,256 交易量
No
18°C
$11,326 交易量
No
19°C
$6,715 交易量
No
20°C or higher
$5,661 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the highest temperature on May 5 reached exactly 14°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability as preliminary data finalized post-quality control. Cool northerly winds and persistent low cloud cover suppressed daytime heating under a weak pressure gradient, aligning with ECMWF and HARMONIE model outputs from the prior 48 hours that clustered maxima in the mid-teens but trended cooler amid overcast skies. Early May climatology averages 15–16°C highs, making this unremarkable. Final KNMI validation could theoretically revise upward if a sensor anomaly is detected, though such changes are rare for settled daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
交易量
$95,445結束日期
2026-05-05市場開放時間
May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the highest temperature on May 5 reached exactly 14°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability as preliminary data finalized post-quality control. Cool northerly winds and persistent low cloud cover suppressed daytime heating under a weak pressure gradient, aligning with ECMWF and HARMONIE model outputs from the prior 48 hours that clustered maxima in the mid-teens but trended cooler amid overcast skies. Early May climatology averages 15–16°C highs, making this unremarkable. Final KNMI validation could theoretically revise upward if a sensor anomaly is detected, though such changes are rare for settled daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$95,445結束日期
2026-05-05市場開放時間
May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the highest temperature on May 5 reached exactly 14°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability as preliminary data finalized post-quality control. Cool northerly winds and persistent low cloud cover suppressed daytime heating under a weak pressure gradient, aligning with ECMWF and HARMONIE model outputs from the prior 48 hours that clustered maxima in the mid-teens but trended cooler amid overcast skies. Early May climatology averages 15–16°C highs, making this unremarkable. Final KNMI validation could theoretically revise upward if a sensor anomaly is detected, though such changes are rare for settled daily maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions