Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 24 reached exactly 14°C, per hourly measurements archived on Weather Underground, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting 13-14°C highs under persistent northerly winds and partial cloud cover that suppressed daytime heating. Compared to Ankara's April climatological average high of 16-17°C, yesterday's cool, stable conditions reflect typical spring variability. Post-resolution, shifts would require rare data revisions from instrument quality checks or audits by MGM, with final validation typically within 24-48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Ankara on April 24?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 24?
14°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$89,000 交易量
$89,000 交易量
2026-04-24
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$89,000 交易量
$89,000 交易量
2026-04-24
6°C or below
$754 交易量
No
7°C
$3,538 交易量
No
8°C
$1,422 交易量
No
9°C
$1,745 交易量
No
10°C
$3,355 交易量
No
11°C
$7,646 交易量
No
12°C
$11,581 交易量
No
13°C
$12,478 交易量
No
14°C
$14,032 交易量
Yes
15°C
$17,024 交易量
No
16°C or higher
$15,426 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 24 reached exactly 14°C, per hourly measurements archived on Weather Underground, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting 13-14°C highs under persistent northerly winds and partial cloud cover that suppressed daytime heating. Compared to Ankara's April climatological average high of 16-17°C, yesterday's cool, stable conditions reflect typical spring variability. Post-resolution, shifts would require rare data revisions from instrument quality checks or audits by MGM, with final validation typically within 24-48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 22, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
交易量
$89,000結束日期
2026-04-24市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 12:35 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 24 reached exactly 14°C, per hourly measurements archived on Weather Underground, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting 13-14°C highs under persistent northerly winds and partial cloud cover that suppressed daytime heating. Compared to Ankara's April climatological average high of 16-17°C, yesterday's cool, stable conditions reflect typical spring variability. Post-resolution, shifts would require rare data revisions from instrument quality checks or audits by MGM, with final validation typically within 24-48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$89,000結束日期
2026-04-24市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 12:35 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 24 reached exactly 14°C, per hourly measurements archived on Weather Underground, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting 13-14°C highs under persistent northerly winds and partial cloud cover that suppressed daytime heating. Compared to Ankara's April climatological average high of 16-17°C, yesterday's cool, stable conditions reflect typical spring variability. Post-resolution, shifts would require rare data revisions from instrument quality checks or audits by MGM, with final validation typically within 24-48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions