Recent model runs indicate a frontal system and associated moisture could moderate Beijing's peak temperatures on June 23, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C. Key scientific variables include steering patterns from the subtropical high, which may allow cooler northerly flow or increased cloud cover and showers to cap afternoon heating, versus clearer conditions permitting stronger insolation and surface warming. Historical June climatology shows typical highs near 30°C, but forecast uncertainty in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture explains why outcomes from 28°C to 32°C dominate trader positioning ahead of updated NWP guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Beijing on June 23?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 23?
27°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$110,223 交易量
$110,223 交易量
2026-06-23
26°C or below
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$110,223 交易量
$110,223 交易量
2026-06-23
26°C or below
$25,544 交易量
No
27°C
$24,519 交易量
Yes
28°C
$10,665 交易量
No
29°C
$10,292 交易量
No
30°C
$12,415 交易量
No
31°C
$10,108 交易量
No
32°C
$8,200 交易量
No
33°C
$3,081 交易量
No
34°C
$3,458 交易量
No
35°C
$1,161 交易量
No
36°C or higher
$781 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs indicate a frontal system and associated moisture could moderate Beijing's peak temperatures on June 23, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C. Key scientific variables include steering patterns from the subtropical high, which may allow cooler northerly flow or increased cloud cover and showers to cap afternoon heating, versus clearer conditions permitting stronger insolation and surface warming. Historical June climatology shows typical highs near 30°C, but forecast uncertainty in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture explains why outcomes from 28°C to 32°C dominate trader positioning ahead of updated NWP guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 21, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$110,223結束日期
2026-06-23市場開放時間
Jun 21, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs indicate a frontal system and associated moisture could moderate Beijing's peak temperatures on June 23, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C. Key scientific variables include steering patterns from the subtropical high, which may allow cooler northerly flow or increased cloud cover and showers to cap afternoon heating, versus clearer conditions permitting stronger insolation and surface warming. Historical June climatology shows typical highs near 30°C, but forecast uncertainty in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture explains why outcomes from 28°C to 32°C dominate trader positioning ahead of updated NWP guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$110,223結束日期
2026-06-23市場開放時間
Jun 21, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent model runs indicate a frontal system and associated moisture could moderate Beijing's peak temperatures on June 23, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C. Key scientific variables include steering patterns from the subtropical high, which may allow cooler northerly flow or increased cloud cover and showers to cap afternoon heating, versus clearer conditions permitting stronger insolation and surface warming. Historical June climatology shows typical highs near 30°C, but forecast uncertainty in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture explains why outcomes from 28°C to 32°C dominate trader positioning ahead of updated NWP guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions