Official meteorological forecasts for Beijing on June 6 indicate a maximum temperature near 19°C, well below the typical early-June average of 28–32°C, driven by a persistent cool air mass and increased cloud cover associated with regional frontal systems. Numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration show consistent guidance on limited daytime heating, with dew points and wind patterns suppressing the usual solar warming. This strong consensus underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for 22°C or below. A rapid shift in steering winds or unexpected clearing could allow modest warming, though current observational trends and model agreement make significant upward revisions unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Beijing on June 6?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 6?
22°C or below 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$86,774 交易量
$86,774 交易量
2026-06-06
22°C or below
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
22°C or below 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$86,774 交易量
$86,774 交易量
2026-06-06
22°C or below
$25,176 交易量
Yes
23°C
$14,794 交易量
No
24°C
$16,405 交易量
No
25°C
$9,042 交易量
No
26°C
$9,166 交易量
No
27°C
$7,319 交易量
No
28°C
$2,069 交易量
No
29°C
$369 交易量
No
30°C
$151 交易量
No
31°C
$146 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$2,138 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological forecasts for Beijing on June 6 indicate a maximum temperature near 19°C, well below the typical early-June average of 28–32°C, driven by a persistent cool air mass and increased cloud cover associated with regional frontal systems. Numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration show consistent guidance on limited daytime heating, with dew points and wind patterns suppressing the usual solar warming. This strong consensus underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for 22°C or below. A rapid shift in steering winds or unexpected clearing could allow modest warming, though current observational trends and model agreement make significant upward revisions unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$86,774結束日期
2026-06-06市場開放時間
Jun 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological forecasts for Beijing on June 6 indicate a maximum temperature near 19°C, well below the typical early-June average of 28–32°C, driven by a persistent cool air mass and increased cloud cover associated with regional frontal systems. Numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration show consistent guidance on limited daytime heating, with dew points and wind patterns suppressing the usual solar warming. This strong consensus underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for 22°C or below. A rapid shift in steering winds or unexpected clearing could allow modest warming, though current observational trends and model agreement make significant upward revisions unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$86,774結束日期
2026-06-06市場開放時間
Jun 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Official meteorological forecasts for Beijing on June 6 indicate a maximum temperature near 19°C, well below the typical early-June average of 28–32°C, driven by a persistent cool air mass and increased cloud cover associated with regional frontal systems. Numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration show consistent guidance on limited daytime heating, with dew points and wind patterns suppressing the usual solar warming. This strong consensus underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for 22°C or below. A rapid shift in steering winds or unexpected clearing could allow modest warming, though current observational trends and model agreement make significant upward revisions unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions