Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C high for Beijing on September 9 due to real-time official observations from meteorological stations aligning precisely with that threshold under clear skies and light southwesterly flow. This outcome sits near the long-term September 9 average high of 27.6°C, with current conditions featuring comfortable afternoon temperatures around 25–26°C and minimal diurnal variation that prevented further rise. Model consensus from regional forecasts showed limited upside potential once the midday peak passed, locking in the result. Only an unexpected post-hoc data revision from primary monitoring agencies could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for surface temperature records.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日北京最高溫度？
9月9日北京最高溫度？
27°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$63,337 交易量
$63,337 交易量
2026-09-09
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
27°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$63,337 交易量
$63,337 交易量
2026-09-09
21°C或以下
$679 交易量
否
22°C
$2,095 交易量
否
23°C
$2,919 交易量
否
24°C
$3,427 交易量
否
25°C
$9,857 交易量
否
26°C
$12,426 交易量
否
27°C
$8,508 交易量
是
28°C
$9,826 交易量
否
29°C
$7,105 交易量
否
30°C
$3,367 交易量
否
31°C或以上
$3,129 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C high for Beijing on September 9 due to real-time official observations from meteorological stations aligning precisely with that threshold under clear skies and light southwesterly flow. This outcome sits near the long-term September 9 average high of 27.6°C, with current conditions featuring comfortable afternoon temperatures around 25–26°C and minimal diurnal variation that prevented further rise. Model consensus from regional forecasts showed limited upside potential once the midday peak passed, locking in the result. Only an unexpected post-hoc data revision from primary monitoring agencies could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for surface temperature records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$63,337結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C high for Beijing on September 9 due to real-time official observations from meteorological stations aligning precisely with that threshold under clear skies and light southwesterly flow. This outcome sits near the long-term September 9 average high of 27.6°C, with current conditions featuring comfortable afternoon temperatures around 25–26°C and minimal diurnal variation that prevented further rise. Model consensus from regional forecasts showed limited upside potential once the midday peak passed, locking in the result. Only an unexpected post-hoc data revision from primary monitoring agencies could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for surface temperature records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$63,337結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C high for Beijing on September 9 due to real-time official observations from meteorological stations aligning precisely with that threshold under clear skies and light southwesterly flow. This outcome sits near the long-term September 9 average high of 27.6°C, with current conditions featuring comfortable afternoon temperatures around 25–26°C and minimal diurnal variation that prevented further rise. Model consensus from regional forecasts showed limited upside potential once the midday peak passed, locking in the result. Only an unexpected post-hoc data revision from primary monitoring agencies could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for surface temperature records.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions