Official observations from Milan Linate Airport and ARPA Lombardia monitoring stations confirm a maximum temperature of 23°C on May 3, solidifying trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability for this outcome amid mild early May conditions in Lombardy. This matches pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting a tight cluster around 23°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds of 8-10 km/h, and moderate solar insolation typical for the season, where historical May 3 averages hover near 21°C. Realistic challenges would require rare post-validation revisions by meteorological authorities or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though standard quality controls minimize such risks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Milan on May 3?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 3?
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$63,310 交易量
$63,310 交易量
2026-05-03
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$63,310 交易量
$63,310 交易量
2026-05-03
17°C or below
$2,636 交易量
No
18°C
$1,676 交易量
No
19°C
$1,296 交易量
No
20°C
$1,942 交易量
No
21°C
$3,459 交易量
No
22°C
$6,329 交易量
No
23°C
$13,892 交易量
Yes
24°C
$10,829 交易量
No
25°C
$9,204 交易量
No
26°C
$6,285 交易量
No
27°C or higher
$5,764 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Milan Linate Airport and ARPA Lombardia monitoring stations confirm a maximum temperature of 23°C on May 3, solidifying trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability for this outcome amid mild early May conditions in Lombardy. This matches pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting a tight cluster around 23°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds of 8-10 km/h, and moderate solar insolation typical for the season, where historical May 3 averages hover near 21°C. Realistic challenges would require rare post-validation revisions by meteorological authorities or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though standard quality controls minimize such risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 1, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
交易量
$63,310結束日期
2026-05-03市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 12:14 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Milan Linate Airport and ARPA Lombardia monitoring stations confirm a maximum temperature of 23°C on May 3, solidifying trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability for this outcome amid mild early May conditions in Lombardy. This matches pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting a tight cluster around 23°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds of 8-10 km/h, and moderate solar insolation typical for the season, where historical May 3 averages hover near 21°C. Realistic challenges would require rare post-validation revisions by meteorological authorities or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though standard quality controls minimize such risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$63,310結束日期
2026-05-03市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 12:14 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from Milan Linate Airport and ARPA Lombardia monitoring stations confirm a maximum temperature of 23°C on May 3, solidifying trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability for this outcome amid mild early May conditions in Lombardy. This matches pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting a tight cluster around 23°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds of 8-10 km/h, and moderate solar insolation typical for the season, where historical May 3 averages hover near 21°C. Realistic challenges would require rare post-validation revisions by meteorological authorities or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though standard quality controls minimize such risks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions