Official short-range forecasts from Météo-France and European models converge on a daily maximum of 20°C for Paris on June 5 amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate northerly winds that limit afternoon warming. This positions the 20°C outcome at near-certain market-implied odds, consistent with observed conditions and typical early-June climatology where highs average 22–23°C but cool Atlantic troughs can suppress readings by 2–3°C. Minor model spread remains possible within the standard ±1–2°C uncertainty band at 24-hour range; a delayed clearing trend or localized urban heat effect could push the verified high to 21°C or 19°C, though current consensus and resolution criteria tied to official station data make such shifts unlikely before close of trading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月5日巴黎最高溫度?
20°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$112,254 交易量
$112,254 交易量
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或以上
否
20°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$112,254 交易量
$112,254 交易量
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official short-range forecasts from Météo-France and European models converge on a daily maximum of 20°C for Paris on June 5 amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate northerly winds that limit afternoon warming. This positions the 20°C outcome at near-certain market-implied odds, consistent with observed conditions and typical early-June climatology where highs average 22–23°C but cool Atlantic troughs can suppress readings by 2–3°C. Minor model spread remains possible within the standard ±1–2°C uncertainty band at 24-hour range; a delayed clearing trend or localized urban heat effect could push the verified high to 21°C or 19°C, though current consensus and resolution criteria tied to official station data make such shifts unlikely before close of trading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions