**Cloud cover, persistent rain, and southerly flow from an approaching upper-level low are the main drivers keeping Seattle's September 13 high temperature centered in the low-to-mid 60s.** Official and model guidance from NWS, local forecasters, and ensembles consistently show widespread morning rain tapering to scattered showers or drizzle by afternoon, with highs near 64–67°F—well below the 71°F climatological average. The tight 64–65°F (31%) versus 62–63°F (30%) split in market-implied odds reflects uncertainty in the precise timing of heaviest precipitation and any late-day clearing that could allow modest warming. Stronger southerly winds and high humidity further limit daytime heating, while historical analogs for similar late-summer systems support suppression into the mid-60s rather than the upper 60s or low 70s. Traders are effectively betting on the consensus forecast envelope while acknowledging small upside risks if rain ends earlier than expected.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日西雅圖的最高溫度？
9月13日西雅圖的最高溫度？
64-65°F 31%
62-63°F 30%
66-67°F 17%
60-61°F 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
57°F或以下
2%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
14%
62-63°F
30%
64-65°F
31%
66-67°F
17%
68-69華氏度
8%
70-71華氏度
3%
72-73°F
1%
74-75華氏度
1%
76°F或以上
<1%
64-65°F 31%
62-63°F 30%
66-67°F 17%
60-61°F 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
57°F或以下
$0 交易量
2%
58-59°F
$0 交易量
3%
60-61°F
$255 交易量
14%
62-63°F
$369 交易量
30%
64-65°F
$289 交易量
31%
66-67°F
$70 交易量
17%
68-69華氏度
$158 交易量
8%
70-71華氏度
$41 交易量
3%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
1%
74-75華氏度
$80 交易量
1%
76°F或以上
$110 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover, persistent rain, and southerly flow from an approaching upper-level low are the main drivers keeping Seattle's September 13 high temperature centered in the low-to-mid 60s.** Official and model guidance from NWS, local forecasters, and ensembles consistently show widespread morning rain tapering to scattered showers or drizzle by afternoon, with highs near 64–67°F—well below the 71°F climatological average. The tight 64–65°F (31%) versus 62–63°F (30%) split in market-implied odds reflects uncertainty in the precise timing of heaviest precipitation and any late-day clearing that could allow modest warming. Stronger southerly winds and high humidity further limit daytime heating, while historical analogs for similar late-summer systems support suppression into the mid-60s rather than the upper 60s or low 70s. Traders are effectively betting on the consensus forecast envelope while acknowledging small upside risks if rain ends earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
交易量
$1,372結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 7:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover, persistent rain, and southerly flow from an approaching upper-level low are the main drivers keeping Seattle's September 13 high temperature centered in the low-to-mid 60s.** Official and model guidance from NWS, local forecasters, and ensembles consistently show widespread morning rain tapering to scattered showers or drizzle by afternoon, with highs near 64–67°F—well below the 71°F climatological average. The tight 64–65°F (31%) versus 62–63°F (30%) split in market-implied odds reflects uncertainty in the precise timing of heaviest precipitation and any late-day clearing that could allow modest warming. Stronger southerly winds and high humidity further limit daytime heating, while historical analogs for similar late-summer systems support suppression into the mid-60s rather than the upper 60s or low 70s. Traders are effectively betting on the consensus forecast envelope while acknowledging small upside risks if rain ends earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,372結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 7:55 AM ET**Cloud cover, persistent rain, and southerly flow from an approaching upper-level low are the main drivers keeping Seattle's September 13 high temperature centered in the low-to-mid 60s.** Official and model guidance from NWS, local forecasters, and ensembles consistently show widespread morning rain tapering to scattered showers or drizzle by afternoon, with highs near 64–67°F—well below the 71°F climatological average. The tight 64–65°F (31%) versus 62–63°F (30%) split in market-implied odds reflects uncertainty in the precise timing of heaviest precipitation and any late-day clearing that could allow modest warming. Stronger southerly winds and high humidity further limit daytime heating, while historical analogs for similar late-summer systems support suppression into the mid-60s rather than the upper 60s or low 70s. Traders are effectively betting on the consensus forecast envelope while acknowledging small upside risks if rain ends earlier than expected.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions