Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models have converged on a 26°C daily high for Tokyo on June 2, aligning with early-June climatology before the peak of the rainy season. This positions the outcome as the market-implied consensus, reflecting trader assessment of current atmospheric conditions, steering patterns, and observational trends that favor moderate warming without significant deviation. Historical data show average highs near 25–26°C this time of year, with low probability of extremes due to typical pre-monsoon stability. Final Japan Meteorological Agency measurements could still shift if unexpected cloud cover, precipitation timing, or model updates alter the trajectory before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月2日東京氣溫最高？
6月2日東京氣溫最高？
26°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$70,884 交易量
$70,884 交易量
2026-06-02
17°C或以下
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C或以上
否
26°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$70,884 交易量
$70,884 交易量
2026-06-02
17°C或以下
$513 交易量
否
18°C
$567 交易量
否
19°C
$3,420 交易量
否
20°C
$1,907 交易量
否
21°C
$1,782 交易量
否
22°C
$6,108 交易量
否
23°C
$7,314 交易量
否
24°C
$11,102 交易量
否
25°C
$15,848 交易量
否
26°C
$11,679 交易量
是
27°C或以上
$10,643 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models have converged on a 26°C daily high for Tokyo on June 2, aligning with early-June climatology before the peak of the rainy season. This positions the outcome as the market-implied consensus, reflecting trader assessment of current atmospheric conditions, steering patterns, and observational trends that favor moderate warming without significant deviation. Historical data show average highs near 25–26°C this time of year, with low probability of extremes due to typical pre-monsoon stability. Final Japan Meteorological Agency measurements could still shift if unexpected cloud cover, precipitation timing, or model updates alter the trajectory before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$70,884結束日期
2026-06-02市場開放時間
May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models have converged on a 26°C daily high for Tokyo on June 2, aligning with early-June climatology before the peak of the rainy season. This positions the outcome as the market-implied consensus, reflecting trader assessment of current atmospheric conditions, steering patterns, and observational trends that favor moderate warming without significant deviation. Historical data show average highs near 25–26°C this time of year, with low probability of extremes due to typical pre-monsoon stability. Final Japan Meteorological Agency measurements could still shift if unexpected cloud cover, precipitation timing, or model updates alter the trajectory before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$70,884結束日期
2026-06-02市場開放時間
May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models have converged on a 26°C daily high for Tokyo on June 2, aligning with early-June climatology before the peak of the rainy season. This positions the outcome as the market-implied consensus, reflecting trader assessment of current atmospheric conditions, steering patterns, and observational trends that favor moderate warming without significant deviation. Historical data show average highs near 25–26°C this time of year, with low probability of extremes due to typical pre-monsoon stability. Final Japan Meteorological Agency measurements could still shift if unexpected cloud cover, precipitation timing, or model updates alter the trajectory before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions