Skip to main content
icon for 堪薩斯州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

堪薩斯州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

icon for 堪薩斯州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

堪薩斯州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

亞當·漢密爾頓 94%

桑迪·斯皮德爾·紐曼 3.3%

Christy Davis 2.4%

Patrick Schmidt <1%

Polymarket

$163,647 交易量

亞當·漢密爾頓 94%

桑迪·斯皮德爾·紐曼 3.3%

Christy Davis 2.4%

Patrick Schmidt <1%

Polymarket

$163,647 交易量

icon for 亞當·漢密爾頓

亞當·漢密爾頓

$23,626 交易量

94%

icon for 桑迪·斯皮德爾·紐曼

桑迪·斯皮德爾·紐曼

$36,644 交易量

3%

icon for Christy Davis

Christy Davis

$38,607 交易量

2%

icon for Patrick Schmidt

Patrick Schmidt

$23,054 交易量

1%

icon for 傑森·哈特

傑森·哈特

$2,575 交易量

<1%

icon for Erik Murray

Erik Murray

$2,330 交易量

<1%

icon for Sharice Davids

Sharice Davids

$6,150 交易量

<1%

icon for 邁克爾·索塔特

邁克爾·索塔特

$4,306 交易量

<1%

icon for 達蒙·安德森

達蒙·安德森

$1,927 交易量

<1%

icon for 安妮·帕雷卡

安妮·帕雷卡

$19,979 交易量

<1%

icon for 凱文·拉茨

凱文·拉茨

$2,188 交易量

<1%

icon for 諾亞·泰勒

諾亞·泰勒

$2,261 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Adam Hamilton leads the August 4, 2026, Kansas Democratic Senate primary with strong trader support due to his late-April announcement as a prominent United Methodist pastor, rapid fundraising exceeding $1 million in the first week, and statewide name recognition that outpaces lesser-known rivals. Other declared candidates, including Damon Anderson, Christy Davis, Erik Murray, Jason Hart, and several others, remain in the field but have shown limited public momentum or financial traction so far. The race occurs in a solidly Republican general-election environment against incumbent Sen. Roger Marshall, making the Democratic nomination a lower-stakes contest where early organizational and donor advantages heavily shape current implied probabilities. No major late developments have altered the field since Hamilton’s entry.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas.

If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$163,647
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Adam Hamilton leads the August 4, 2026, Kansas Democratic Senate primary with strong trader support due to his late-April announcement as a prominent United Methodist pastor, rapid fundraising exceeding $1 million in the first week, and statewide name recognition that outpaces lesser-known rivals. Other declared candidates, including Damon Anderson, Christy Davis, Erik Murray, Jason Hart, and several others, remain in the field but have shown limited public momentum or financial traction so far. The race occurs in a solidly Republican general-election environment against incumbent Sen. Roger Marshall, making the Democratic nomination a lower-stakes contest where early organizational and donor advantages heavily shape current implied probabilities. No major late developments have altered the field since Hamilton’s entry.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas.

If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$163,647
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"堪薩斯州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "亞當·漢密爾頓" at 94%, followed by "桑迪·斯皮德爾·紐曼" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "堪薩斯州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $163.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "堪薩斯州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "堪薩斯州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "亞當·漢密爾頓" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "桑迪·斯皮德爾·紐曼" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "堪薩斯州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.