The Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecasts project Seoul's lowest temperature on April 15 at around 10°C, aligning with a strong model consensus amid mild spring conditions featuring light winds and partial cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Current early-morning observations near Gimpo and Incheon airports support this, showing minima hovering at 10–11°C, while historical mid-April lows average 9–11°C, reinforcing trader confidence with 93.8% implied probability for 10°C. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected surge of cooler continental air or increased overnight clear skies enabling sharper drops to 9°C or below, though ensemble models show low likelihood; final resolution awaits official KMA station data by day's end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月15日首爾最低溫度?
4月15日首爾最低溫度?
10°C 97.2%
9°C 4.2%
8°C或以下 <1%
$79,152 交易量
$79,152 交易量
8°C或以下
1%
9°C
4%
10°C
97%
10°C 97.2%
9°C 4.2%
8°C或以下 <1%
$79,152 交易量
$79,152 交易量
8°C或以下
1%
9°C
4%
10°C
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 8:17 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecasts project Seoul's lowest temperature on April 15 at around 10°C, aligning with a strong model consensus amid mild spring conditions featuring light winds and partial cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Current early-morning observations near Gimpo and Incheon airports support this, showing minima hovering at 10–11°C, while historical mid-April lows average 9–11°C, reinforcing trader confidence with 93.8% implied probability for 10°C. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected surge of cooler continental air or increased overnight clear skies enabling sharper drops to 9°C or below, though ensemble models show low likelihood; final resolution awaits official KMA station data by day's end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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