Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model spread from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), GFS, and ECMWF ensembles, implying Seoul's highest temperature at Incheon International Airport station around 22–24°C on April 16 amid light southerly winds and partial cloud cover. Recent warming trends following an early April cold snap—marked by rare mid-month snowfall—have boosted probabilities for upper-20s Celsius outcomes, with fuller daytime solar insolation under clearer skies favoring 24°C or higher, while increased cloudiness could cap peaks at 22°C. Key differentiators include steering patterns from high-pressure ridging and urban heat effects; final KMA updates expected evening of April 15 may refine guidance ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on April 16?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 16?
24°C or higher 25.0%
23°C 23%
21°C 19%
22°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
14°C or below
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
4%
19°C
8%
20°C
10%
21°C
19%
22°C
16%
23°C
23%
24°C or higher
25%
24°C or higher 25.0%
23°C 23%
21°C 19%
22°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
14°C or below
$506 交易量
1%
15°C
$344 交易量
2%
16°C
$846 交易量
2%
17°C
$785 交易量
3%
18°C
$1,400 交易量
4%
19°C
$1,068 交易量
8%
20°C
$444 交易量
10%
21°C
$505 交易量
19%
22°C
$546 交易量
16%
23°C
$674 交易量
23%
24°C or higher
$1,299 交易量
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model spread from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), GFS, and ECMWF ensembles, implying Seoul's highest temperature at Incheon International Airport station around 22–24°C on April 16 amid light southerly winds and partial cloud cover. Recent warming trends following an early April cold snap—marked by rare mid-month snowfall—have boosted probabilities for upper-20s Celsius outcomes, with fuller daytime solar insolation under clearer skies favoring 24°C or higher, while increased cloudiness could cap peaks at 22°C. Key differentiators include steering patterns from high-pressure ridging and urban heat effects; final KMA updates expected evening of April 15 may refine guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
交易量
$8,378結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model spread from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), GFS, and ECMWF ensembles, implying Seoul's highest temperature at Incheon International Airport station around 22–24°C on April 16 amid light southerly winds and partial cloud cover. Recent warming trends following an early April cold snap—marked by rare mid-month snowfall—have boosted probabilities for upper-20s Celsius outcomes, with fuller daytime solar insolation under clearer skies favoring 24°C or higher, while increased cloudiness could cap peaks at 22°C. Key differentiators include steering patterns from high-pressure ridging and urban heat effects; final KMA updates expected evening of April 15 may refine guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$8,378結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model spread from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), GFS, and ECMWF ensembles, implying Seoul's highest temperature at Incheon International Airport station around 22–24°C on April 16 amid light southerly winds and partial cloud cover. Recent warming trends following an early April cold snap—marked by rare mid-month snowfall—have boosted probabilities for upper-20s Celsius outcomes, with fuller daytime solar insolation under clearer skies favoring 24°C or higher, while increased cloudiness could cap peaks at 22°C. Key differentiators include steering patterns from high-pressure ridging and urban heat effects; final KMA updates expected evening of April 15 may refine guidance ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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