MetService's latest forecast update on April 14 projects a maximum temperature of 18°C for Wellington Central today under fine skies with northerlies turning southerly, driving the market's 66% implied probability on that outcome as traders align with this official guidance from New Zealand's national weather service. This positioning reflects model consensus for mostly clear conditions favoring daytime heating, consistent with April climatology where average highs range 16–17°C amid autumn cooling, though light cloud patches introduce modest uncertainty for 19°C (12%) or 17°C (9.5%). Low odds on 20°C or higher (1.6%) underscore limited intensification potential without stronger solar input or föhn winds. Real-time observations from Wellington stations will confirm the peak by evening, with any forecast revisions possible midday.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月15日惠靈頓的最高溫度?
4月15日惠靈頓的最高溫度?
18°C 84%
19°C 17.5%
20°C或以上 <1%
17°C <1%
$135,414 交易量
$135,414 交易量
17°C
<1%
18°C
84%
19°C
18%
20°C或以上
1%
18°C 84%
19°C 17.5%
20°C或以上 <1%
17°C <1%
$135,414 交易量
$135,414 交易量
17°C
<1%
18°C
84%
19°C
18%
20°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
MetService's latest forecast update on April 14 projects a maximum temperature of 18°C for Wellington Central today under fine skies with northerlies turning southerly, driving the market's 66% implied probability on that outcome as traders align with this official guidance from New Zealand's national weather service. This positioning reflects model consensus for mostly clear conditions favoring daytime heating, consistent with April climatology where average highs range 16–17°C amid autumn cooling, though light cloud patches introduce modest uncertainty for 19°C (12%) or 17°C (9.5%). Low odds on 20°C or higher (1.6%) underscore limited intensification potential without stronger solar input or föhn winds. Real-time observations from Wellington stations will confirm the peak by evening, with any forecast revisions possible midday.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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