MetService's morning forecast update for April 16 projects a Wellington high of 17°C with clearing showers and strong westerlies following overnight rain, yet trader consensus favors 18°C at 38% implied probability, reflecting potential nor'wester föhn effects that often elevate temperatures 1–2°C above guidance in this topographically complex region. April climatology shows average highs near 17°C, consistent with recent observations peaking at 17.1°C, while ensemble model spreads from GFS and ECMWF indicate variability around 17–19°C amid shifting southerlies. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to local wind channeling and cloud cover; monitor afternoon MetService revisions and real-time data from Wellington International Airport for resolution cues.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月16日惠靈頓的最高溫度?
4月16日惠靈頓的最高溫度?
18°C 38%
17°C 20%
16°C 10.1%
19°C 8%
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
10%
17°C
20%
18°C
38%
19°C
8%
20°C
3%
21°C或更高
2%
18°C 38%
17°C 20%
16°C 10.1%
19°C 8%
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
10%
17°C
20%
18°C
38%
19°C
8%
20°C
3%
21°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
MetService's morning forecast update for April 16 projects a Wellington high of 17°C with clearing showers and strong westerlies following overnight rain, yet trader consensus favors 18°C at 38% implied probability, reflecting potential nor'wester föhn effects that often elevate temperatures 1–2°C above guidance in this topographically complex region. April climatology shows average highs near 17°C, consistent with recent observations peaking at 17.1°C, while ensemble model spreads from GFS and ECMWF indicate variability around 17–19°C amid shifting southerlies. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to local wind channeling and cloud cover; monitor afternoon MetService revisions and real-time data from Wellington International Airport for resolution cues.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions