Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Dallas's highest temperature on April 14, with market-implied odds nearly split at 51% for 82°F or higher versus 48.5% for 63°F or below, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance forecasting an 81°F high amid mostly cloudy skies and a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1 p.m. Southerly winds at 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph will promote warm air advection from the Gulf of Mexico, potentially allowing boundary-layer mixing to push peaks above 82°F if convection holds off, but persistent cloud cover from lingering moisture—following 70% shower odds on April 12—could suppress daytime heating to the low 60s. Forecast models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble spread on precipitation timing and coverage, with new 00Z runs expected overnight to refine probabilities ahead of resolution at official observing sites such as Dallas Love Field.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月14日達拉斯的最高溫度?
4月14日達拉斯的最高溫度?
82°F或更高 50%
80-81°F 28%
76-77°F 27%
72-73°F 17%
63°F或以下
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
28%
82°F或更高
40%
82°F或更高 50%
80-81°F 28%
76-77°F 27%
72-73°F 17%
63°F或以下
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
28%
82°F或更高
40%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Dallas's highest temperature on April 14, with market-implied odds nearly split at 51% for 82°F or higher versus 48.5% for 63°F or below, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance forecasting an 81°F high amid mostly cloudy skies and a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1 p.m. Southerly winds at 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph will promote warm air advection from the Gulf of Mexico, potentially allowing boundary-layer mixing to push peaks above 82°F if convection holds off, but persistent cloud cover from lingering moisture—following 70% shower odds on April 12—could suppress daytime heating to the low 60s. Forecast models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble spread on precipitation timing and coverage, with new 00Z runs expected overnight to refine probabilities ahead of resolution at official observing sites such as Dallas Love Field.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions