Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and global model consensus from GFS and ECMWF, which project a high temperature near 55-57°F at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) on April 12 amid lingering post-frontal cooling from a recent low-pressure system. The narrow spread between 54-55°F (31%) and 56-57°F (29.5%) reflects subtle differences in model runs over the past 24 hours, particularly uncertainty in afternoon boundary layer mixing under northwest winds (10-20 mph gusts) and partial cloud cover, which could cap heating below climatological April norms of ~60°F. Key differentiators include potential for earlier clearing boosting 56-57°F versus persistent stratus favoring 54-55°F; final NWS updates expected midday April 11 will refine this ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in NYC on April 12?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 12?
54-55°F 30%
56-57°F 30%
52-53°F 21.0%
58-59°F 13%
$26,398 交易量
$26,398 交易量
2026-04-12
47°F or below
1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
5%
52-53°F
21%
54-55°F
30%
56-57°F
30%
58-59°F
13%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66°F or higher
<1%
54-55°F 30%
56-57°F 30%
52-53°F 21.0%
58-59°F 13%
$26,398 交易量
$26,398 交易量
2026-04-12
47°F or below
$3,000 交易量
1%
48-49°F
$1,383 交易量
1%
50-51°F
$1,865 交易量
5%
52-53°F
$1,745 交易量
21%
54-55°F
$2,187 交易量
30%
56-57°F
$1,590 交易量
30%
58-59°F
$2,159 交易量
13%
60-61°F
$5,156 交易量
2%
62-63°F
$1,785 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$1,891 交易量
1%
66°F or higher
$3,652 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and global model consensus from GFS and ECMWF, which project a high temperature near 55-57°F at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) on April 12 amid lingering post-frontal cooling from a recent low-pressure system. The narrow spread between 54-55°F (31%) and 56-57°F (29.5%) reflects subtle differences in model runs over the past 24 hours, particularly uncertainty in afternoon boundary layer mixing under northwest winds (10-20 mph gusts) and partial cloud cover, which could cap heating below climatological April norms of ~60°F. Key differentiators include potential for earlier clearing boosting 56-57°F versus persistent stratus favoring 54-55°F; final NWS updates expected midday April 11 will refine this ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$26,398結束日期
2026-04-12市場開放時間
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and global model consensus from GFS and ECMWF, which project a high temperature near 55-57°F at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) on April 12 amid lingering post-frontal cooling from a recent low-pressure system. The narrow spread between 54-55°F (31%) and 56-57°F (29.5%) reflects subtle differences in model runs over the past 24 hours, particularly uncertainty in afternoon boundary layer mixing under northwest winds (10-20 mph gusts) and partial cloud cover, which could cap heating below climatological April norms of ~60°F. Key differentiators include potential for earlier clearing boosting 56-57°F versus persistent stratus favoring 54-55°F; final NWS updates expected midday April 11 will refine this ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$26,398結束日期
2026-04-12市場開放時間
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and global model consensus from GFS and ECMWF, which project a high temperature near 55-57°F at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) on April 12 amid lingering post-frontal cooling from a recent low-pressure system. The narrow spread between 54-55°F (31%) and 56-57°F (29.5%) reflects subtle differences in model runs over the past 24 hours, particularly uncertainty in afternoon boundary layer mixing under northwest winds (10-20 mph gusts) and partial cloud cover, which could cap heating below climatological April norms of ~60°F. Key differentiators include potential for earlier clearing boosting 56-57°F versus persistent stratus favoring 54-55°F; final NWS updates expected midday April 11 will refine this ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions