Météo France forecasts a maximum temperature of 17°C for Paris on April 11 under persistent overcast skies and light drizzle from a cool Atlantic airflow, driving the market-implied 99.6% probability for 18°C or below as traders weigh observational data showing daytime highs peaking around 15–16°C at official stations like Paris-Montsouris. Cloudy conditions and moderate northerly winds have suppressed solar heating, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model consensus for subdued spring warmth below seasonal norms of 16°C. While rare late-afternoon clearing could enable brief spikes above 18°C via radiational heating, current trajectories and shortening daylight make this improbable; final hourly observations will confirm resolution by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Paris on April 11?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 11?
18°C or below 99.6%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
20°C <1%
$181,671 交易量
$181,671 交易量
18°C or below
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
18°C or below 99.6%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
20°C <1%
$181,671 交易量
$181,671 交易量
18°C or below
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Météo France forecasts a maximum temperature of 17°C for Paris on April 11 under persistent overcast skies and light drizzle from a cool Atlantic airflow, driving the market-implied 99.6% probability for 18°C or below as traders weigh observational data showing daytime highs peaking around 15–16°C at official stations like Paris-Montsouris. Cloudy conditions and moderate northerly winds have suppressed solar heating, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model consensus for subdued spring warmth below seasonal norms of 16°C. While rare late-afternoon clearing could enable brief spikes above 18°C via radiational heating, current trajectories and shortening daylight make this improbable; final hourly observations will confirm resolution by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions