Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Lagos' highest temperature on April 13, with models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering around 30–33°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderating sea breezes from the Gulf of Guinea. NiMet's recent bulletins note persistent humidity and occasional dust haze early April, tempering extremes, while historical April data from NOAA shows average highs of 32°C (90°F), rarely exceeding 34°C or dipping below 29°C due to the urban heat island and coastal influences. Differentiation among close outcomes (29–36°C at 19–21.5%) stems from model disagreements on cloud persistence—thicker cover favors 29–31°C, clearer intervals 33–35°C—against low odds for extremes given climatological baselines. Watch NiMet's April 12 update for refined guidance as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Lagos on April 13?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 13?
30°C 20%
33°C 20%
32°C 18%
34°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-13
28°C or below
8%
29°C
11%
30°C
20%
31°C
13%
32°C
18%
33°C
20%
34°C
17%
35°C
12%
36°C
12%
37°C
8%
38°C or higher
9%
30°C 20%
33°C 20%
32°C 18%
34°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-13
28°C or below
$67 交易量
8%
29°C
$17 交易量
11%
30°C
$0 交易量
20%
31°C
$0 交易量
13%
32°C
$32 交易量
18%
33°C
$0 交易量
20%
34°C
$0 交易量
17%
35°C
$0 交易量
12%
36°C
$0 交易量
12%
37°C
$17 交易量
8%
38°C or higher
$93 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Lagos' highest temperature on April 13, with models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering around 30–33°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderating sea breezes from the Gulf of Guinea. NiMet's recent bulletins note persistent humidity and occasional dust haze early April, tempering extremes, while historical April data from NOAA shows average highs of 32°C (90°F), rarely exceeding 34°C or dipping below 29°C due to the urban heat island and coastal influences. Differentiation among close outcomes (29–36°C at 19–21.5%) stems from model disagreements on cloud persistence—thicker cover favors 29–31°C, clearer intervals 33–35°C—against low odds for extremes given climatological baselines. Watch NiMet's April 12 update for refined guidance as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 11, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$226結束日期
2026-04-13市場開放時間
Apr 11, 2026, 12:12 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Lagos' highest temperature on April 13, with models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering around 30–33°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderating sea breezes from the Gulf of Guinea. NiMet's recent bulletins note persistent humidity and occasional dust haze early April, tempering extremes, while historical April data from NOAA shows average highs of 32°C (90°F), rarely exceeding 34°C or dipping below 29°C due to the urban heat island and coastal influences. Differentiation among close outcomes (29–36°C at 19–21.5%) stems from model disagreements on cloud persistence—thicker cover favors 29–31°C, clearer intervals 33–35°C—against low odds for extremes given climatological baselines. Watch NiMet's April 12 update for refined guidance as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$226結束日期
2026-04-13市場開放時間
Apr 11, 2026, 12:12 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Lagos' highest temperature on April 13, with models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering around 30–33°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderating sea breezes from the Gulf of Guinea. NiMet's recent bulletins note persistent humidity and occasional dust haze early April, tempering extremes, while historical April data from NOAA shows average highs of 32°C (90°F), rarely exceeding 34°C or dipping below 29°C due to the urban heat island and coastal influences. Differentiation among close outcomes (29–36°C at 19–21.5%) stems from model disagreements on cloud persistence—thicker cover favors 29–31°C, clearer intervals 33–35°C—against low odds for extremes given climatological baselines. Watch NiMet's April 12 update for refined guidance as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions