Trader sentiment clusters around 23–24°C highs for Cape Town on April 12, driven by the South African Weather Service (SAWS) extended forecast of partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers and thundershowers in the Western Cape, capping solar insolation and peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models exhibits a tight spread of 20–25°C, with 23–24°C edging ahead due to consensus on moderate southerly winds and partial cloud cover; 20°C gains traction from potential persistent showers, while 28°C+ reflects outlier drier scenarios amid climatological April averages near 23°C. Uncertainty persists in exact cloud evolution and frontal timing—new SAWS advisories and model runs expected April 11 could sharpen odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦4月12日的最高溫度?
開普敦4月12日的最高溫度?
24°C 50%
23°C 33%
25°C 18%
22°C 10%
18°C或以下
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
9%
22°C
10%
23°C
33%
24°C
39%
25°C
18%
26°C
10%
27°C
6%
28°C或以上
4%
24°C 50%
23°C 33%
25°C 18%
22°C 10%
18°C或以下
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
9%
22°C
10%
23°C
33%
24°C
39%
25°C
18%
26°C
10%
27°C
6%
28°C或以上
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader sentiment clusters around 23–24°C highs for Cape Town on April 12, driven by the South African Weather Service (SAWS) extended forecast of partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers and thundershowers in the Western Cape, capping solar insolation and peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models exhibits a tight spread of 20–25°C, with 23–24°C edging ahead due to consensus on moderate southerly winds and partial cloud cover; 20°C gains traction from potential persistent showers, while 28°C+ reflects outlier drier scenarios amid climatological April averages near 23°C. Uncertainty persists in exact cloud evolution and frontal timing—new SAWS advisories and model runs expected April 11 could sharpen odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions