Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached 100% implied probability for a 64-65°F high temperature at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on April 10, driven by official observational data from the National Weather Service and Weather Underground confirming the peak reached 64.4°F amid persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore southerly winds around 10-20 mph. This aligns with NWS forecast model consensus predicting mild conditions under overcast skies, consistent with mid-April climatological averages of 63°F and recent patterns of coastal fog limiting solar heating. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument calibration issues, though KSFO measurements carry high reliability with negligible revision history for such events.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 10?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 10?
64-65°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$84,683 交易量
$84,683 交易量
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
64-65°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$84,683 交易量
$84,683 交易量
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 6, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached 100% implied probability for a 64-65°F high temperature at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on April 10, driven by official observational data from the National Weather Service and Weather Underground confirming the peak reached 64.4°F amid persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore southerly winds around 10-20 mph. This aligns with NWS forecast model consensus predicting mild conditions under overcast skies, consistent with mid-April climatological averages of 63°F and recent patterns of coastal fog limiting solar heating. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument calibration issues, though KSFO measurements carry high reliability with negligible revision history for such events.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions