Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations show Munich reaching 14°C by midday on April 11 under moderate easterly winds of 15 km/h and 58% humidity, fueling trader sentiment clustered tightly around 16–17°C with near-even implied probabilities. DWD's hourly forecast projects a late-afternoon high of 17°C via diurnal heating and boundary layer mixing, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 17°C, though divergent model members highlight uncertainty in cloud cover and solar insolation that could cap warming at 16°C. This springlike setup exceeds April climatological averages of 13–15°C, but resolution hinges on DWD's official Munich station data through sunset around 20:00 CEST.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Munich on April 11?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 11?
17°C 58%
16°C 35%
18°C 8%
15°C 3.0%
$104,327 交易量
$104,327 交易量
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
35%
17°C
58%
18°C
8%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
17°C 58%
16°C 35%
18°C 8%
15°C 3.0%
$104,327 交易量
$104,327 交易量
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
35%
17°C
58%
18°C
8%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 7, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations show Munich reaching 14°C by midday on April 11 under moderate easterly winds of 15 km/h and 58% humidity, fueling trader sentiment clustered tightly around 16–17°C with near-even implied probabilities. DWD's hourly forecast projects a late-afternoon high of 17°C via diurnal heating and boundary layer mixing, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 17°C, though divergent model members highlight uncertainty in cloud cover and solar insolation that could cap warming at 16°C. This springlike setup exceeds April climatological averages of 13–15°C, but resolution hinges on DWD's official Munich station data through sunset around 20:00 CEST.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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