Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a peak of 14°C at London City Airport—the market's resolution station—driven by Met Office hourly forecasts updated midday April 11, showing temperatures topping out at 13–15°C amid sunny intervals giving way to blustery showers and southwest winds gusting to 35mph. Live METAR observations hover near 14°C, aligning with model consensus after last week's record early-April heatwave (26.5°C on April 8) yielded to cooler Atlantic air masses. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of cloudy conditions capping solar heating, consistent with April climatology (average highs 12–14°C). Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine boosting to 15°C+ or persistent rain dropping to 13°C or below; final observations via Wunderground will resolve by midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in London on April 11?
Highest temperature in London on April 11?
14°C 93.0%
15°C 4.0%
13°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
$248,634 交易量
$248,634 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
93%
15°C
4%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
14°C 93.0%
15°C 4.0%
13°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
$248,634 交易量
$248,634 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
93%
15°C
4%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a peak of 14°C at London City Airport—the market's resolution station—driven by Met Office hourly forecasts updated midday April 11, showing temperatures topping out at 13–15°C amid sunny intervals giving way to blustery showers and southwest winds gusting to 35mph. Live METAR observations hover near 14°C, aligning with model consensus after last week's record early-April heatwave (26.5°C on April 8) yielded to cooler Atlantic air masses. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of cloudy conditions capping solar heating, consistent with April climatology (average highs 12–14°C). Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine boosting to 15°C+ or persistent rain dropping to 13°C or below; final observations via Wunderground will resolve by midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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