Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 34°C (36.5%) and 35°C (33.0%) for Lagos' highest temperature on April 12, reflecting short-range forecast models like AccuWeather projecting a daytime high of 33–35°C amid partial sunshine and rising humidity during the rainy season onset. Key differentiators include cloud cover extent from convective activity—greater intervals of sun could boost peaks via high solar insolation and urban heat island effects in Lagos, while isolated morning showers or thickening clouds may cap at 34°C. NiMet's seasonal outlook highlights hotter-than-average April conditions with thunderstorm risks, building on recent highs near 35°C; historical norms hover around 32°C. Overnight model updates from GFS and ECMWF will refine uncertainty before resolution via official observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月12日拉各斯的最高溫度?
4月12日拉各斯的最高溫度?
35°C 33%
34°C 23%
33°C 17%
32°C 12%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
12%
33°C
17%
34°C
37%
35°C
33%
36°C
7%
37°C或以上
1%
35°C 33%
34°C 23%
33°C 17%
32°C 12%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
12%
33°C
17%
34°C
37%
35°C
33%
36°C
7%
37°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 34°C (36.5%) and 35°C (33.0%) for Lagos' highest temperature on April 12, reflecting short-range forecast models like AccuWeather projecting a daytime high of 33–35°C amid partial sunshine and rising humidity during the rainy season onset. Key differentiators include cloud cover extent from convective activity—greater intervals of sun could boost peaks via high solar insolation and urban heat island effects in Lagos, while isolated morning showers or thickening clouds may cap at 34°C. NiMet's seasonal outlook highlights hotter-than-average April conditions with thunderstorm risks, building on recent highs near 35°C; historical norms hover around 32°C. Overnight model updates from GFS and ECMWF will refine uncertainty before resolution via official observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions