Observed temperatures at Austin's official monitoring stations, including Camp Mabry and Bergstrom International Airport, have already climbed above 68°F this morning under overcast skies with southeast winds, per National Weather Service data, virtually locking in a daily high of 66°F or higher as the market implies with 100% probability on that outcome. National Weather Service forecasts project a peak near 82°F amid humid conditions and a chance of showers or thunderstorms, supported by model consensus showing ample daytime heating despite cloud cover. Historical April norms around 80°F further bolster trader confidence. No realistic scenario—such as sudden cooling—could drop the recorded high below 66°F at this stage, though final daily maximum awaits evening observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Austin on April 11?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 11?
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$120,716 交易量
$120,716 交易量
2026-04-11
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F or higher
100%
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$120,716 交易量
$120,716 交易量
2026-04-11
47°F or below
$9,123 交易量
<1%
48-49°F
$1,933 交易量
<1%
50-51°F
$1,929 交易量
<1%
52-53°F
$1,775 交易量
<1%
54-55°F
$803 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$1,781 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$1,731 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$2,767 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$5,013 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$4,734 交易量
<1%
66°F or higher
$89,128 交易量
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Observed temperatures at Austin's official monitoring stations, including Camp Mabry and Bergstrom International Airport, have already climbed above 68°F this morning under overcast skies with southeast winds, per National Weather Service data, virtually locking in a daily high of 66°F or higher as the market implies with 100% probability on that outcome. National Weather Service forecasts project a peak near 82°F amid humid conditions and a chance of showers or thunderstorms, supported by model consensus showing ample daytime heating despite cloud cover. Historical April norms around 80°F further bolster trader confidence. No realistic scenario—such as sudden cooling—could drop the recorded high below 66°F at this stage, though final daily maximum awaits evening observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 7, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
交易量
$120,716結束日期
2026-04-11市場開放時間
Apr 7, 2026, 12:26 AM ET已提議結果: No
爭議期
最終
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Observed temperatures at Austin's official monitoring stations, including Camp Mabry and Bergstrom International Airport, have already climbed above 68°F this morning under overcast skies with southeast winds, per National Weather Service data, virtually locking in a daily high of 66°F or higher as the market implies with 100% probability on that outcome. National Weather Service forecasts project a peak near 82°F amid humid conditions and a chance of showers or thunderstorms, supported by model consensus showing ample daytime heating despite cloud cover. Historical April norms around 80°F further bolster trader confidence. No realistic scenario—such as sudden cooling—could drop the recorded high below 66°F at this stage, though final daily maximum awaits evening observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$120,716結束日期
2026-04-11市場開放時間
Apr 7, 2026, 12:26 AM ET已提議結果: No
爭議期
最終
Observed temperatures at Austin's official monitoring stations, including Camp Mabry and Bergstrom International Airport, have already climbed above 68°F this morning under overcast skies with southeast winds, per National Weather Service data, virtually locking in a daily high of 66°F or higher as the market implies with 100% probability on that outcome. National Weather Service forecasts project a peak near 82°F amid humid conditions and a chance of showers or thunderstorms, supported by model consensus showing ample daytime heating despite cloud cover. Historical April norms around 80°F further bolster trader confidence. No realistic scenario—such as sudden cooling—could drop the recorded high below 66°F at this stage, though final daily maximum awaits evening observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions