National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 82°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) on April 12, anchoring the 69.5% market-implied probability for 76°F or higher amid a ridge of high pressure fostering warm southerly flow and subsidence that suppresses cloud development for peak afternoon heating. Recent forecast discussions highlight lingering uncertainty from an unsettled pattern with isolated thunderstorms possible Saturday into Sunday, driven by a passing shortwave and elevated moisture, potentially capping highs in the mid-70s as reflected in the 21% odds for 74-75°F—slightly above the April climatological normal of 79°F. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles from the latest overnight runs show consensus around 80-84°F peaks, with morning soundings and hourly updates key ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Austin on April 12?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 12?
76°F or higher 69%
74-75°F 20%
72-73°F 6.0%
70-71°F 2.0%
$11,544 交易量
$11,544 交易量
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
20%
76°F or higher
69%
76°F or higher 69%
74-75°F 20%
72-73°F 6.0%
70-71°F 2.0%
$11,544 交易量
$11,544 交易量
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
20%
76°F or higher
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 82°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) on April 12, anchoring the 69.5% market-implied probability for 76°F or higher amid a ridge of high pressure fostering warm southerly flow and subsidence that suppresses cloud development for peak afternoon heating. Recent forecast discussions highlight lingering uncertainty from an unsettled pattern with isolated thunderstorms possible Saturday into Sunday, driven by a passing shortwave and elevated moisture, potentially capping highs in the mid-70s as reflected in the 21% odds for 74-75°F—slightly above the April climatological normal of 79°F. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles from the latest overnight runs show consensus around 80-84°F peaks, with morning soundings and hourly updates key ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions