National Weather Service forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, project a high temperature near 68-70°F in Denver on April 13, well above the climatological normal of 61°F at Buckley Space Force Base, driving the market's 98% implied probability for 64°F or higher. This trader consensus stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over the central Rockies fostering downslope winds, clear skies, and adiabatic warming, with recent 00Z and 12Z runs showing tight ensemble agreement and minimal precipitation risk. Realistic challenges include an unexpected northerly wind shift ushering cooler air or unforecast cloud cover capping daytime heating, though current guidance deems these low-probability outliers. Watch NWS Boulder updates through April 12 for refinements ahead of resolution based on official observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Denver on April 13?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 13?
64°F or higher 98.0%
62-63°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$19,381 交易量
$19,381 交易量
45°F or below
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64°F or higher
98%
64°F or higher 98.0%
62-63°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$19,381 交易量
$19,381 交易量
45°F or below
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64°F or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 9, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, project a high temperature near 68-70°F in Denver on April 13, well above the climatological normal of 61°F at Buckley Space Force Base, driving the market's 98% implied probability for 64°F or higher. This trader consensus stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over the central Rockies fostering downslope winds, clear skies, and adiabatic warming, with recent 00Z and 12Z runs showing tight ensemble agreement and minimal precipitation risk. Realistic challenges include an unexpected northerly wind shift ushering cooler air or unforecast cloud cover capping daytime heating, though current guidance deems these low-probability outliers. Watch NWS Boulder updates through April 12 for refinements ahead of resolution based on official observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions