Trader consensus implies a 100% probability for a highest temperature of 12°C in Seoul on April 11, backed by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) hourly observations at the official station, which peaked at that level midday before dropping to 11°C under persistent cloud cover by evening. Overcast skies have limited solar insolation, preventing typical spring warming amid a cool northerly airflow and light winds, diverging from April climatological averages around 17°C. While model forecasts earlier suggested 14–15°C potential, real-time data overrides this amid minimal diurnal heating. Realistic challenges include brief clearing late afternoon boosting to 13°C, though falling evening temperatures make this improbable; final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight will confirm resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on April 11?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 11?
12°C 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$449,919 交易量
$449,919 交易量
12°C
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$449,919 交易量
$449,919 交易量
12°C
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus implies a 100% probability for a highest temperature of 12°C in Seoul on April 11, backed by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) hourly observations at the official station, which peaked at that level midday before dropping to 11°C under persistent cloud cover by evening. Overcast skies have limited solar insolation, preventing typical spring warming amid a cool northerly airflow and light winds, diverging from April climatological averages around 17°C. While model forecasts earlier suggested 14–15°C potential, real-time data overrides this amid minimal diurnal heating. Realistic challenges include brief clearing late afternoon boosting to 13°C, though falling evening temperatures make this improbable; final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight will confirm resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions