Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects a high of 25°C in Seoul on April 13 under partly sunny skies following a warming trend from 15°C highs on April 11 and 22°C on April 12, yet trader consensus prices 19°C at 25% implied probability, edging 20°C (16%), due to divergent ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering around 18-21°C amid uncertainty in high-pressure ridge strength. Mid-April climatological averages of 18-20°C highs anchor sentiment, with differentiating factors including potential afternoon cloud cover suppressing peaks below 23°C (13.5% for 23°C+) or sustained clear skies and southerly winds boosting to 22°C (11.6%). Overnight global model runs and KMA's midday update will refine trajectories before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月13日首爾最高溫度?
4月13日首爾最高溫度?
19°C 25%
23°C或以上 18%
20°C 16%
21°C 13%
$45,143 交易量
$45,143 交易量
13°C或以下
2%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
4%
17°C
8%
18°C
10%
19°C
25%
20°C
16%
21°C
13%
22°C
12%
23°C或以上
18%
19°C 25%
23°C或以上 18%
20°C 16%
21°C 13%
$45,143 交易量
$45,143 交易量
13°C或以下
2%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
4%
17°C
8%
18°C
10%
19°C
25%
20°C
16%
21°C
13%
22°C
12%
23°C或以上
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects a high of 25°C in Seoul on April 13 under partly sunny skies following a warming trend from 15°C highs on April 11 and 22°C on April 12, yet trader consensus prices 19°C at 25% implied probability, edging 20°C (16%), due to divergent ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering around 18-21°C amid uncertainty in high-pressure ridge strength. Mid-April climatological averages of 18-20°C highs anchor sentiment, with differentiating factors including potential afternoon cloud cover suppressing peaks below 23°C (13.5% for 23°C+) or sustained clear skies and southerly winds boosting to 22°C (11.6%). Overnight global model runs and KMA's midday update will refine trajectories before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions